dpnd

Predicting since Aug 202337,179 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.7K on Tech markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $3.4K riding on Will Tesla release Optimus by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$3.4K	93¢	96¢	+$120
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$2.2K	91¢	97¢	+$129
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather	No	$2.3K	77¢	77¢	-$11
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics	No	$1.9K	92¢	94¢	+$34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$1.6K	55¢	48¢	-$209
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$701	80¢	78¢	-$19
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Tech	No	$618	89¢	86¢	-$22
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?Weather	No	$527	88¢	100¢	+$66
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$574	83¢	76¢	-$48
OpenAI acquired before 2027?Tech	No	$429	91¢	97¢	+$25
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$378	47¢	47¢	+$4
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech	No	$332	75¢	82¢	+$26
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics	Yes	$186	37¢	64¢	+$133
Elon Bull Run ComboTech	No	$293	90¢	92¢	+$9
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?Weather	No	$234	92¢	99¢	+$17
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics	Yes	$180	35¢	28¢	-$34
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics	No	$88	72¢	99¢	+$34
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$175	74¢	51¢	-$54
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech	Yes	$165	32¢	17¢	-$80
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather	No	$53	71¢	53¢	-$14
Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather	Yes	$58	23¢	14¢	-$24
Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?Weather	Yes	$14	7.0¢	8.0¢	+$2
Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?Weather	Yes	$18	12¢	7.5¢	-$6
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather	Yes	$12	41¢	25¢	-$5
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Weather	Yes	$4	19¢	26¢	+$1
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics	Yes	$4	6.0¢	2.1¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$9.7K

Weather+$8.4K

Politics+$1.7K

Premier League+$1.6K

Other sports+$817

Crypto-$735

Finance+$392

Soccer (other)-$335

Other+$304

La Liga-$273

Culture-$128

Tennis+$63

Biggest hit

+$2.0K

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 30?

Toughest beat

-$5.2K

2024 July hottest on record?

Recent moves

Sold No · Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?$791h ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?$3793h ago
Sold No · AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?$94516h ago
Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$5323h ago
Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$7923h ago
Sold No · Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?$02d ago
Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$12d ago
Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$22d ago
Sold No · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$162d ago
Sold No · Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?$582d ago
Sold No · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?$2922d ago
Sold No · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?$7152d ago