← Whale Watch

EinPilsimWald

Predicting since Feb 20251,672 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.4K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$3518¢0.0¢-$35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$606.0¢0.0¢-$60
Spurs vs. WarriorsNBAWarriorsResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?MentionsNoResolved$1121¢0.0¢-$11
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27?BundesligaYesResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$5528¢0.0¢-$55
Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5)Soccer (other)Eintracht BraunschweigResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)Basketball (other)Eastern Kentucky ColonelsResolved$7751¢0.0¢-$77
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$61.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$202.5¢0.0¢-$20
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?PoliticsNoResolved$43.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?PoliticsNoResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2835¢0.0¢-$28
Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$40.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?CultureNoResolved$7878¢0.0¢-$78
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$242.2¢0.0¢-$24
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $90?FinanceYesResolved$3838¢0.0¢-$38
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$358.1¢0.0¢-$35
Thomas Meunier: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureNoResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?WeatherYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Will Emma win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?CultureYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?WeatherYesResolved$469.2¢0.0¢-$46
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$2718¢0.0¢-$27
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Bundesliga1. FC KölnResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?CultureYesResolved$3738¢0.0¢-$37
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$1130¢0.0¢-$11
Belmont Bruins vs. Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersBasketball (other)Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersResolved$7242¢0.0¢-$72
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$5212¢0.0¢-$52
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6834¢0.0¢-$68
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$590.6¢0.0¢-$59
Hornets vs. SpursNBAHornetsResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?WeatherNoResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Josh Rock win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$213.7¢0.0¢-$21
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?TennisYesResolved$46.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$247.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?BundesligaYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$132.2¢0.0¢-$13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)eSports3DMAXResolved$7248¢0.0¢-$72
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?BundesligaYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$3838¢0.0¢-$38
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$3939¢0.0¢-$39
Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$813¢0.0¢-$8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?BundesligaYesResolved$4848¢0.0¢-$48
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?BundesligaYesResolved$2666¢0.0¢-$26
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?PoliticsYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie AYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?CultureYesResolved$60.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$31.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?PoliticsYesResolved$6060¢0.0¢-$60
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$2959¢0.0¢-$29
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?PoliticsYesResolved$13.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Soccer (other)YesResolved$911¢0.0¢-$9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3232¢0.0¢-$32
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?PoliticsYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Tunisia win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Soccer (other)YesResolved$91.7¢0.0¢-$9
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?WeatherYesResolved$30.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$248.0¢0.0¢-$24
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$124.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$199.5¢0.0¢-$19
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$8016¢0.0¢-$80
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$271.7¢0.0¢-$27
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden GophersBasketball (other)Minnesota Golden GophersResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22?BundesligaYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$153.6¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Soccer (other)Eintracht BraunschweigResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)Soccer (other)Eintracht BraunschweigResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Damon Heta win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$455.4¢0.0¢-$45
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$285.9¢0.0¢-$28
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?PoliticsNoResolved$408.0¢0.0¢-$40
Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$82.1¢0.0¢-$8
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$307.5¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?World CupYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Norway be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Callan Rydz win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?WeatherYesResolved$52.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?BundesligaYesResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$459.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$01.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$178.6¢0.0¢-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$1.4K
Culture-$1.4K
World Cup-$1.2K
Bundesliga-$495
Mentions-$468
Crypto-$425
Soccer (other)-$305
Basketball (other)-$245
Golf-$243
UFC / MMA+$243
eSports-$227
Tech-$218
Biggest hit
+$784
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$176
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$119d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$823d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$023d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$123d ago
  • Bought Yes · Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$3323d ago