← Whale Watch

tacas

Predicting since Oct 2024173 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $13K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $5.8K riding on Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?MentionsYesResolved$839¢0.0¢-$8
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?MentionsYesResolved$825¢0.0¢-$8
Iran strike on Israel before December?PoliticsYesResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Rockets vs. CavaliersNBACavaliersResolved$27648¢0.0¢-$276
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$122.5¢0.0¢-$12
Trump releases Epstein list today?PoliticsNoResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Hawks vs. SpursNBAHawksResolved$50749¢0.0¢-$507
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$51.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$112.2¢0.0¢-$11
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$200.1¢0.0¢-$20
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$104.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$117.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next Pope be named Paul?CultureYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next Pope be named John?CultureYesResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Pistons vs. HawksNBAHawksResolved$34945¢0.0¢-$349
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?Soccer (other)NoResolved$24041¢0.0¢-$240
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?PoliticsYesResolved$1420¢0.0¢-$14
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?TechNoResolved$1625¢0.0¢-$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?CryptoYesResolved$1312¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump apologize to Elon before July?PoliticsYesResolved$55.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?EconomyYesResolved$1917¢0.0¢-$19
Will the next Pope be named Francis?CultureYesResolved$2311¢0.0¢-$23
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$51.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$39717¢0.0¢-$397
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?PoliticsNoResolved$90.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?Other sportsYesResolved$41.0¢0.0¢-$4
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$738¢0.0¢-$7
Trump wins every swing state?PoliticsNoResolved$2.5K51¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Will Iran declare war on Israel before July?PoliticsYesResolved$2511¢0.0¢-$25
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Other sportsYesResolved$2628¢0.0¢-$26
Iran strike on Qatar today?PoliticsNoResolved$1281.9¢0.0¢-$128
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?PoliticsYesResolved$2424¢0.0¢-$24
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$90.8¢0.0¢-$9
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?BundesligaNoResolved$35744¢0.0¢-$357
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$52.6¢0.0¢-$5
Suns vs. Trail BlazersNBATrail BlazersResolved$45156¢0.0¢-$451
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$182.6¢0.0¢-$18
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be more than 300% on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$62.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 15 at 5 PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Other sportsYesResolved$58546¢0.0¢-$585
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?PoliticsNoResolved$1270.7¢0.0¢-$127
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?Other sportsYesResolved$41.7¢0.0¢-$4
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$562.6¢0.0¢-$56
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?Premier LeagueNoResolved$33357¢0.0¢-$333
Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?CultureYesResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?Premier LeagueNoResolved$36645¢0.0¢-$366
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1726.3¢0.0¢-$172
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?Premier LeagueNoResolved$39458¢0.0¢-$394
US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?CultureYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?La LigaNoResolved$35744¢0.0¢-$357
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$104.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$321.4¢0.0¢-$32
Will Barcelona win La Liga?La LigaNoResolved$110.7¢0.0¢-$11
Lakers vs. BucksNBABucksResolved$42252¢0.0¢-$422
Hawks vs. SunsNBASunsResolved$39648¢0.0¢-$396
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$111.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$179.7¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?PoliticsNoResolved$400.6¢0.0¢-$40
Bulls vs. Trail BlazersNBATrail BlazersResolved$24743¢0.0¢-$247
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Trump transgender executive order on Day 1?OtherNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?MentionsYesResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesNBATimberwolvesResolved$45356¢0.0¢-$453
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 19 at 5 PM ET?CryptoYesResolved$111.8¢0.0¢-$11
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?PoliticsNoResolved$2024¢0.0¢-$20
Clippers vs. HornetsNBAHornetsResolved$31448¢0.0¢-$314
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Aston Martin record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Other sportsYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?CultureYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$71.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?PoliticsNoResolved$61.2¢0.0¢-$6
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?PoliticsYesResolved$9928¢0.0¢-$99
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?CryptoYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?PoliticsNoResolved$791.7¢0.0¢-$79
Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?Soccer (other)NoResolved$46357¢0.0¢-$463
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$1112¢0.0¢-$11
Fed rate cut by July meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$143.8¢0.0¢-$14
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$60.5¢0.0¢-$6
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridChampions LeagueReal MadridResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?TechYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
Spain snap election called in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$31126¢0.0¢-$311
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?Soccer (other)NoResolved$41745¢0.0¢-$417
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?PoliticsYesResolved$104.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?PoliticsNoResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?Soccer (other)NoResolved$52164¢0.0¢-$521
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner TennisAlcaraz Resolved$123.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?Premier LeagueNoResolved$33046¢0.0¢-$330
Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?TennisYesResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?PoliticsYesResolved$62.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Alpine record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?Other sportsYesResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$363.1¢0.0¢-$36
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5710¢0.0¢-$57
Iranian coup attempt before July?PoliticsYesResolved$1224¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?PoliticsYesResolved$130.5¢0.0¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$13K
NBA-$1.1K
Premier League-$631
Bundesliga-$488
Other sports+$479
Tech-$441
Soccer (other)+$394
Culture-$105
La Liga+$96
Economy-$75
Formula 1-$65
Tennis-$46
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?
Toughest beat
-$26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$236mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$56mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$46mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$16mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$26mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$136mo ago
  • Bought Yes · José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?$96mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Spain snap election called in 2025?$06mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$06mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$06mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Spain snap election called in 2025?$06mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$16mo ago