← Whale Watch

rx78

Predicting since Nov 20251,407 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $16K on Finance markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $1.2K riding on Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 15?.

Biggest hit: +$4.2K on S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$10789¢97¢+$10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$3335¢100¢+$62
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8989¢93¢+$3
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1014¢100¢+$64
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$4590¢96¢+$3
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$6363¢44¢-$20
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$816¢79¢+$33
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$4283¢80¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3478¢69¢-$4
Remote IPO before 2027?TechYes$2114¢18¢+$6
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$4130¢19¢-$16
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechNo$1352¢94¢+$11
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$1470¢100¢+$6
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?PoliticsNoResolved$1679¢100¢+$4
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1889¢92¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1890¢88¢-$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1786¢87¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1783¢87¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1783¢86¢+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechYes$1515¢16¢+$1
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1154¢78¢+$5
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$628¢51¢+$4
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$1530¢19¢-$6
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$616¢22¢+$3
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$26.0¢17¢+$4
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?TechYes$1733¢13¢-$10
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$26.0¢15¢+$3
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?TechNo$473¢87¢+$1
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$1350¢13¢-$9
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechYes$2147¢6.5¢-$18
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$292¢100¢+$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsYes$714¢4.5¢-$5
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$437¢21¢-$2
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$26.0¢4.9¢-$0
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?PoliticsYes$37.0¢3.1¢-$2
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?PoliticsYes$512¢3.2¢-$3
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $420?FinanceYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 27?FinanceUpResolved$6117¢0.0¢-$61
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$4381¢0.0¢-$43
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $265?FinanceYesResolved$923¢0.0¢-$9
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?NHLNoResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?PoliticsYesResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 6?FinanceNoResolved$38.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $260?FinanceNoResolved$1522¢0.0¢-$15
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 17?FinanceDownResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 6?FinanceNoResolved$6918¢0.0¢-$69
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 25?FinanceNoResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on February 9?FinanceNoResolved$72.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 4?FinanceNoResolved$84.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $380?FinanceNoResolved$77.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $400?FinanceNoResolved$3613¢0.0¢-$36
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 11?FinanceYesResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?FinanceUpResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 23 above $405?FinanceYesResolved$5758¢0.0¢-$57
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 24?FinanceNoResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 4?FinanceNoResolved$119.8¢0.0¢-$11
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $185?FinanceNoResolved$3423¢0.0¢-$34
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on February 11?FinanceYesResolved$72.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?FinanceDownResolved$257.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$12.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $390?FinanceNoResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on February 27?FinanceYesResolved$01.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on February 27?FinanceYesResolved$5327¢0.0¢-$53
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 11?FinanceDownResolved$74.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 9?FinanceNoResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on March 2?FinanceYesResolved$419.2¢0.0¢-$41
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?CultureYesResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on March 2?FinanceYesResolved$71.8¢0.0¢-$7
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on February 9?FinanceNoResolved$4817¢0.0¢-$48
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $310?FinanceYesResolved$9079¢0.0¢-$90
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 18?FinanceUpResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on February 9?FinanceNoResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $380?FinanceNoResolved$27.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610?FinanceNoResolved$32.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $315?FinanceYesResolved$2263¢0.0¢-$22
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 9?FinanceNoResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on February 11?FinanceNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?NBAYesResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $190?FinanceYesResolved$8029¢0.0¢-$80
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3628¢0.0¢-$36
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on May 6?FinanceNoResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 on April 27?FinanceNoResolved$47.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on February 11?FinanceNoResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $205?FinanceNoResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 6?FinanceYesResolved$34.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 on May 6?FinanceYesResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 16 above $405?FinanceNoResolved$3128¢0.0¢-$31
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 11?FinanceNoResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 4?FinanceNoResolved$13634¢0.0¢-$136
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $165?FinanceNoResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on February 11?FinanceYesResolved$8155¢0.0¢-$81
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $155?FinanceNoResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 13?FinanceUpResolved$6115¢0.0¢-$61

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance+$16K
Politics+$631
Crypto-$425
NBA-$178
Economy-$100
Weather-$67
Olympics-$41
Tech-$37
Culture-$34
Mentions-$29
NFL+$20
NHL-$19
Biggest hit
+$4.2K
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
Toughest beat
-$3.3K
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?