← Whale Watch

kapay

Predicting since Mar 20262,179 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $19K on Crypto markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $3.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$208.5¢3.4¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$2029¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$27.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?WeatherYesResolved$1636¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$1639¢0.0¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$1410.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$618¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$4952¢0.0¢-$49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$3118¢0.0¢-$31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5026¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9753¢0.0¢-$97
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved$1426¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?WeatherYesResolved$2142¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5140¢0.0¢-$51
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on April 2?WeatherYesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$19751¢0.0¢-$197
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9973¢0.0¢-$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9960¢0.0¢-$99
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 3?WeatherYesResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$9848¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9846¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$5028¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?WeatherYesResolved$1539¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$19766¢0.0¢-$197
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$411¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9856¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 45°F or below on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5028¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9853¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5036¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$933¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9850¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$41.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$503.8¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$29054¢0.0¢-$290
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$29639¢0.0¢-$296
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$9758¢0.0¢-$97
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?WeatherYesResolved$1837¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5010¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on March 29?WeatherYesResolved$03.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$4134¢0.0¢-$41
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5024¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$7456¢0.0¢-$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5030¢0.0¢-$50
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$50026¢0.0¢-$500
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 1?WeatherYesResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$32238¢0.0¢-$322
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9933¢0.0¢-$99
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$3620¢0.0¢-$36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved$1339¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9850¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9847¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$829¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?WeatherYesResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on April 4?WeatherNoResolved$3885¢0.0¢-$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5946¢0.0¢-$59
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 29?WeatherYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 1?WeatherYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?WeatherYesResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$9848¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?WeatherYesResolved$1849¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9648¢0.0¢-$96
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$28951¢0.0¢-$289
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$4840¢0.0¢-$48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9855¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?WeatherYesResolved$1434¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$33.3¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$898.5¢0.0¢-$89
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 13?WeatherYesResolved$1238¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5027¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5026¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$9847¢0.0¢-$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9853¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?WeatherYesResolved$42566¢0.0¢-$425
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?WeatherYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1047.8¢0.0¢-$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$9853¢0.0¢-$98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?WeatherYesResolved$1534¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$4953¢0.0¢-$49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 12?WeatherYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9967¢0.0¢-$99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 2?WeatherYesResolved$1333¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$5012¢0.0¢-$50
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$1628¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$5952¢0.0¢-$59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$4535¢0.0¢-$45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$9843¢0.0¢-$98

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$19K
Politics-$3.2K
MLS-$941
Weather+$637
Finance+$224
Economy+$74
Tech-$23
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Toughest beat
-$1.9K
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?$1441mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.2K1mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4921mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$5581mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?$7151mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11?$3041mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$5151mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$11mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?$2.0K1mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$1.5K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$2.0K1mo ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?$1891mo ago