← Whale Watch

sinbalta

Predicting since Feb 202558 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$6023¢19¢-$12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?TechYes$256.9¢2.9¢-$15
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?TechYesResolved$1031¢0.0¢-$10
France debt downgrade by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2059¢0.0¢-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$7869¢0.0¢-$78
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$843¢0.0¢-$8
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$102.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3239¢0.0¢-$32
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$504.3¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?PoliticsYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$36.3¢0.0¢-$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$924¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
OpenAI browser in 2025?TechNoResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$531¢0.0¢-$5
OpenAI social app in 2025?TechNoResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
OpenAI browser by October 31?TechNoResolved$23966¢0.0¢-$239
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$460
Politics+$141
Economy+$7
Biggest hit
+$83
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$42
Will India invade Pakistan before July?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$503mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$618mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1478mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$408mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$398mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$398mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$788mo ago
  • Sold No · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$788mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$48mo ago
  • Bought No · Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$808mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$808mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$58mo ago