← Whale Watch

arst

Predicting since Jun 202596 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$523¢100¢+$17
Iran Nuke in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1891¢100¢+$2
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$587¢100¢+$1
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$29.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$57.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$353¢0.0¢-$3
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$28.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?PoliticsYesResolved$82.5¢0.0¢-$8
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?PoliticsYesResolved$513¢0.0¢-$5
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NBA+$18
Mentions-$15
Other sports-$12
Politics-$7
Weather-$5
MLB-$4
UFC / MMA+$4
Tech-$2
Culture+$1
Crypto+$0
Biggest hit
+$34
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Toughest beat
-$11
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$61y ago
  • Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$231y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$01y ago
  • Bought No · Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$11y ago
  • Bought No · Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$01y ago
  • Bought No · Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?$11y ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?$51y ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$11y ago