 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $600 | 37¢ | 13¢ | -$399 |
 Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in December?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $200 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $50 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $10 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $150 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $10 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $84 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $60 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in November?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $50 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $110 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in December?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the US add more than 125k jobs in November?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $313 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$313 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $81 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $50 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $10 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $75 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
| Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $50 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $50 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?Economy | YesResolved | $14 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in November?Economy | YesResolved | $29 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Sold Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$241mo ago