cookiejar

Predicting since Jul 2025292 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $82K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $28K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$178K on Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$580	29¢	22¢	-$150
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	40¢	5.5¢	-$1.1K
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics	No	$157	56¢	56¢	-$2
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$118	10¢	3.5¢	-$77
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics	Yes	$46	51¢	42¢	-$8
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$62	68¢	28¢	-$37
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1.7K	88¢	0.0¢	-$1.7K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$23	39¢	0.0¢	-$23
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2.8K	77¢	0.0¢	-$2.8K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$20K	58¢	0.0¢	-$20K
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?Culture	YesResolved	$9	12¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will "ReawakeR (feat. Felix of Stray Kids)" by LiSA (Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$1	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$12	58¢	0.0¢	-$12
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics	YesResolved	$23K	73¢	0.0¢	-$23K
Will "Watch Me!" by YOASOBI (WITCH WATCH) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$0	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?Culture	YesResolved	$25	14¢	0.0¢	-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics	YesResolved	$2.1K	86¢	0.0¢	-$2.1K
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$181	31¢	0.0¢	-$181
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World Cup	NoResolved	$785	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$785
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Politics	NoResolved	$868	83¢	0.0¢	-$868
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics	YesResolved	$1.1K	15¢	0.0¢	-$1.1K
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Culture	YesResolved	$316	98¢	0.0¢	-$316
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Politics	YesResolved	$14	6.2¢	0.0¢	-$14
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffseSports	Iron WingResolved	$0	41¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics	NoResolved	$2.0K	15¢	0.0¢	-$2.0K
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?Culture	YesResolved	$4	13¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?World Cup	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "On The Way" by AiNA THE END (DAN DA DAN Season 2) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$18	10¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics	YesResolved	$35	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$35

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$82K

Culture+$34K

Tech+$7.6K

Finance+$7.1K

Crypto+$6.5K

Weather+$3.0K

Mentions+$792

World Cup-$631

Other sports+$453

Soccer (other)+$353

eSports+$332

NBA+$0

Biggest hit

+$178K

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00–1.04ºC in July 2025?

Toughest beat

-$66K

Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?$85d ago
Bought Yes · Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?$387d ago
Bought Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1008d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$6216d ago
Cashed out Yes · NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?$5818d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?$119d ago
Cashed out No · Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?$6.0K19d ago
Sold Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$7.8K20d ago
Sold Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$36520d ago
Sold Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$13520d ago
Sold Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$1.5K20d ago
Sold Iron Wing · Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs$620d ago