Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $108 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | No | $16 | 79¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?Politics | No | $12 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Crypto | No | $11 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $11 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Finance | No | $11 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Fed abolished before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Culture | Avengers: Doomsday | $9 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 90¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $9 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
Databricks IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $9 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
OKX IPO in 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Culture | No | $9 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $9 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other) | No | $9 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $9 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | No | $8 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | No | $9 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Politics | No | $8 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?Crypto | No | $9 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $9 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $10 | 69¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 87¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $8 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $8 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $8 | 77¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $8 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | No | $8 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
UK Recession in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Crypto | No | $7 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 76¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 75¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 88¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $6 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | No | $7 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $7 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 46¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | No | $5 | 49¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 52¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |