← Whale Watch

0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065

Predicting since Jun 20261,260 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$10898¢97¢-$1
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsNo$1679¢70¢-$2
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$1281¢85¢+$1
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?CryptoNo$1192¢93¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$1191¢91¢+$0
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1173¢73¢+$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1193¢94¢+$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsNo$1192¢91¢-$0
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?PoliticsNo$1096¢97¢+$0
Fed abolished before 2027?PoliticsNo$1098¢97¢-$0
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?CultureAvengers: Doomsday$992¢97¢+$1
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$1095¢97¢+$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?TechNo$993¢95¢+$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$1190¢79¢-$1
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$994¢95¢+$0
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$994¢95¢+$0
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$994¢94¢-$0
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$994¢94¢-$0
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$994¢94¢-$0
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$985¢93¢+$1
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$991¢93¢+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$991¢93¢+$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$993¢93¢+$0
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$992¢93¢+$0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$995¢92¢-$0
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsNo$1174¢61¢-$2
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechNo$992¢91¢-$0
OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoNo$989¢91¢+$0
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureNo$988¢90¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?FinanceNo$988¢90¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?PoliticsNo$989¢90¢+$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$988¢88¢+$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Soccer (other)No$991¢88¢-$0
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?PoliticsNo$985¢88¢+$0
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?PoliticsNo$988¢88¢+$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$989¢88¢-$0
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢88¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsNo$987¢87¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$988¢87¢-$0
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?TechNo$880¢87¢+$1
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$987¢87¢-$0
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsNo$889¢97¢+$1
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$990¢86¢-$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?CryptoNo$991¢86¢-$1
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$989¢86¢-$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?PoliticsNo$988¢86¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?PoliticsNo$993¢85¢-$1
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$882¢85¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$989¢84¢-$1
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$992¢84¢-$1
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$991¢84¢-$1
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$882¢83¢+$0
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsNo$881¢83¢+$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?PoliticsNo$880¢81¢+$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$1069¢54¢-$2
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$879¢80¢+$0
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?CryptoNo$881¢80¢-$0
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?PoliticsNo$880¢80¢-$0
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$879¢80¢+$0
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$884¢80¢-$0
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoNo$987¢80¢-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?PoliticsNo$986¢79¢-$1
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$882¢80¢-$0
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$886¢84¢-$0
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureNo$877¢76¢-$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?PoliticsNo$892¢91¢-$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$884¢74¢-$1
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$876¢75¢-$0
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?TechNo$875¢74¢-$0
UK Recession in 2026?EconomyNo$884¢74¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$879¢73¢-$1
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?CryptoNo$781¢87¢+$1
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$876¢70¢-$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$779¢75¢-$0
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$774¢70¢-$0
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?EconomyNo$875¢69¢-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$774¢69¢-$1
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$877¢69¢-$1
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?TechNo$988¢66¢-$2
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$770¢65¢-$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$661¢65¢+$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$765¢65¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?PoliticsNo$881¢65¢-$2
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$766¢64¢-$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$769¢62¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?PoliticsNo$687¢88¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$680¢78¢-$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$688¢90¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$658¢57¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$662¢57¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$671¢67¢-$0
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$595¢99¢+$0
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$679¢78¢-$0
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$659¢55¢-$0
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?CultureNo$546¢54¢+$1
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?PoliticsNo$549¢54¢+$0
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$552¢54¢+$0
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢91¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$576¢76¢-$0
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$692¢73¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$124
Finance-$53
Crypto+$36
Tech-$32
World Cup-$13
eSports+$4
Weather+$2
NFL-$2
Economy+$1
Boxing+$1
Soccer (other)+$1
Other sports+$0
Biggest hit
+$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?$92h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$82h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$82h ago
  • Sold No · Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$82h ago
  • Sold No · Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?$43h ago
  • Bought No · Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$73h ago
  • Bought No · Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$83h ago
  • Sold No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$73h ago
  • Sold No · U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?$93h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$74h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?$64h ago
  • Sold No · Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?$85h ago