markusip

Predicting since Dec 202541 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech	No	$20	67¢	76¢	+$3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSports	Bilibili GamingResolved	$10	53¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 29 - January 4)Mentions	YesResolved	$3	20¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$12	29¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?eSports	YesResolved	$20	18¢	0.0¢	-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffseSports	Team FalconsResolved	$10	65¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$26	21¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?Premier League	YesResolved	$10	48¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup	YesResolved	$12	39¢	0.0¢	-$12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffseSports	G2 EsportsResolved	$6	23¢	0.0¢	-$6
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Politics	NoResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$127

Politics-$85

eSports-$43

World Cup+$14

Premier League-$10

Mentions-$3

Other sports+$2

Culture-$0

Biggest hit

+$89

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$89

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Bought No · Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$201d ago
Bought No · Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?$38d ago
Bought No · Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?$58d ago
Bought No · Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?$48d ago
Cashed out No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$1538d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$59d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$89d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$1810d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$2710d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?$610d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$4918d ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?$6818d ago