RealisticRisk

Predicting since Mar 2026204 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.3K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $5.9K riding on US forces enter Iran by..?.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	No	$1.0K	99¢	99¢	+$7
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture	NoResolved	$3.3K	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$3.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$600	92¢	0.0¢	-$600
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?Soccer (other)	NoResolved	$110	78¢	0.0¢	-$110
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$914	7.5¢	0.0¢	-$914
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?Bundesliga	NoResolved	$110	58¢	0.0¢	-$110
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$668	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$668
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$130	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$620	57¢	0.0¢	-$620
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$5.9K	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$5.9K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 1?Weather	NoResolved	$12	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Bundesliga	YesResolved	$2	13¢	0.0¢	-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$590	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$590

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.3K

Culture-$3.3K

Crypto-$683

Weather-$496

Bundesliga-$110

Soccer (other)-$85

Premier League+$81

Champions League+$68

Tech+$20

MLB+$19

Golf+$13

eSports+$5

Biggest hit

+$1.9K

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$715

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.0K18d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$1.0K21d ago
Cashed out Yes · US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$1.0K24d ago
Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1029d ago
Bought Yes · US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?$100029d ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$100029d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$100029d ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.2K1mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.5K1mo ago
Bought No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.0K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.0K1mo ago
Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.5K1mo ago