← Whale Watch

RealisticRisk

Predicting since Mar 2026198 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.6K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $5.9K riding on US forces enter Iran by..?.

Biggest hit: +$1.9K on US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$3.3K1.1¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$59692¢0.0¢-$596
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?Soccer (other)NoResolved$11078¢0.0¢-$110
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$9147.5¢0.0¢-$914
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?BundesligaNoResolved$10957¢0.0¢-$109
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$6680.2¢0.0¢-$668
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1215.3¢0.0¢-$121
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$60055¢0.0¢-$600
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5.9K1.0¢0.0¢-$5.9K
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 1?WeatherNoResolved$120.8¢0.0¢-$12
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?BundesligaYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5908.9¢0.0¢-$590

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$5.6K
Culture-$3.3K
Crypto-$650
Weather-$496
Bundesliga-$108
Soccer (other)-$85
Premier League+$81
Champions League+$68
Tech+$20
MLB+$19
Golf+$13
eSports+$5
Biggest hit
+$1.9K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$715
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2111mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2091mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$521mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$1011mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1561mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2501mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5431mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$6371mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump out as President by May 31?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.5K1mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.7K1mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.5K2mo ago