← Whale Watch
ikengard
Down $4.0K on Tech markets since Jun 2025.
Right now: $614 riding on Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?.
Biggest hit: +$2.8K on UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card).
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $614 | 69¢ | 21¢ | -$432 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $11 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $112 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$112 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $31 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $75 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Tech-$4.0K
eSports+$463
UFC / MMA+$312
Finance+$118
Mentions+$54
Politics-$11
Biggest hit
+$2.8K
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Recent moves
Cashed out No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$8821mo ago- Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$2331mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$71mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1541mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?$61mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?$431mo ago
- Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$6071mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$141mo ago
- Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$121mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$161mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$11mo ago
- Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$181mo ago