B1431012 · Whale Watch

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B1431012

Predicting since Jul 202622 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$70	36¢	45¢	+$16
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	Yes	$30	26¢	12¢	-$17
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$9	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Politics	NoResolved	$13	22¢	0.0¢	-$13
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	33¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics	NoResolved	$30	21¢	0.0¢	-$30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$20	56¢	0.0¢	-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?Politics	YesResolved	$10	24¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics	NoResolved	$20	34¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance	YesResolved	$20	43¢	0.0¢	-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	15¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	19¢	0.0¢	-$20
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$25	24¢	0.0¢	-$25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$50	36¢	0.0¢	-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$20

Politics+$3

Biggest hit

+$89

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$2

Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?$101mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 22, 2026?$151mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 21, 2026?$101mo ago
Sold Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?$131mo ago
Bought Yes · Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?$501mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?$151mo ago
Bought Yes · Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?$201mo ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$101mo ago
Cashed out Yes · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$881mo ago
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?$52mo ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$92mo ago