demosthenes474

Predicting since Feb 2026105 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.8K on Tech markets since Feb 2026.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather	Yes	$64	1.4¢	0.9¢	-$24
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather	Yes	$35	4.8¢	4.2¢	-$4
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Weather	Yes	$262	4.7¢	0.4¢	-$243
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$3	67¢	80¢	+$1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$15	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$14	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$7	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$15	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$21	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?Politics	NoResolved	$97	22¢	0.0¢	-$97
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$7	1.9¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$4	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$42	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$11	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$81	15¢	0.0¢	-$81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$20	1.2¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$17	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.8K

Politics+$417

Weather-$271

Tennis-$46

Crypto+$34

World Cup-$4

Economy-$2

NFL-$0

Biggest hit

+$957

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$1.8K

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$72mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$112mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$352mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$112mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$352mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$852mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$282mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$392mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$552mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$112mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$262mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$122mo ago