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Periculum

Predicting since Jan 2026420 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$629¢42¢+$3
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$911¢6.5¢-$4
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$236¢45¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$125¢42¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$167¢99¢+$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$121¢26¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$168¢72¢+$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1830¢0.0¢-$18
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?La LigaYesResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?PoliticsYesResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2064¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1146¢0.0¢-$11
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16?BundesligaYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31 PoliticsYesResolved$1730¢0.0¢-$17
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$172¢0.0¢-$1
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaHockey (other)SlovakiaResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?La LigaYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?La LigaYesResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
James Comey arrested by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?Premier LeagueYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?BundesligaYesResolved$163¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$00.0¢0.0¢+$0
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$18.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupNoResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreChampions LeagueYesResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?World CupYesResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?Other sportsYesResolved$227¢0.0¢-$2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?PoliticsYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?Premier LeagueYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Kash Patel out by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2032¢0.0¢-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?Champions LeagueYesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Hockey (other)YesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Other sportsYesResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?Soccer (other)YesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?PoliticsYesResolved$1071¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11863¢0.0¢-$118
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?Premier LeagueYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Champions LeagueYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Other sportsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?La LigaYesResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?TechYesResolved$1071¢0.0¢-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-11 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Other sportsYesResolved$141¢0.0¢-$1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?BundesligaYesResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?Soccer (other)YesResolved$372¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26?Soccer (other)YesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$184¢0.0¢-$1
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-28?Soccer (other)YesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$301
Economy-$25
Olympics-$24
Finance-$20
Hockey (other)+$19
Bundesliga+$16
Premier League-$12
Tech-$10
Champions League-$10
Crypto-$10
World Cup-$8
Soccer (other)+$5
Biggest hit
+$240
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Toughest beat
-$25
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$16d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$16d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$16d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$16d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$16d ago
  • Bought No · Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$16d ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$16d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-18?$110d ago
  • Bought England · England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$113d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$113d ago