 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $427 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$18 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $182 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$71 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $103 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$30 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 5.3¢ | 12¢ | +$30 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $37 | 16¢ | 22¢ | +$12 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | Yes | $44 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 5.8¢ | 8.5¢ | +$11 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 32¢ | +$12 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $22 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$7 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 16¢ | 6.3¢ | -$36 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 78¢ | +$13 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$7 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $27 | 8.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 32¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 1.1¢ | +$13 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 55¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in July?Finance | Yes | $18 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Tech | No | $7 | 13¢ | 22¢ | +$5 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.9¢ | 9.0¢ | +$5 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.4¢ | +$6 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 2.7¢ | +$6 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $10 | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBA | No | $7 | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.9¢ | 5.4¢ | +$2 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$5 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.05T by July 31?Finance | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBA | Yes | $9 | 3.8¢ | 2.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in July?Finance | Yes | $14 | 8.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$10 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$5 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $61 | 9.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$57 |
| Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.3¢ | +$2 |
 Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 1.8¢ | +$1 |
| Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.0¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by July 31?Finance | Yes | $4 | 5.9¢ | 2.6¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Finance | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 1.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 1.8¢ | +$0 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$5 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $829 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$829 |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on July 20?Finance | UpResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $103 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 20?Finance | DownResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 20?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Micron (MU) finish week of July 13 above $920?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will Claude be restored for international customers by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $95 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $258 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$258 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | CanadaResolved | $174 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 20?Finance | UpResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $167 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 20?Finance | UpResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bought Yes · Will SpaceXAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$08h ago