← Whale Watch

poliform

Predicting since Jun 2025197 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.0K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.0K riding on Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?PoliticsYesResolved$111.3¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?PoliticsYesResolved$303.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Fuck" during September?MentionsYesResolved$516.6¢0.0¢-$51
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?PoliticsYesResolved$171.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$260.7¢0.0¢-$26
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$2535¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3526.5¢0.0¢-$352
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?PoliticsYesResolved$321.3¢0.0¢-$32
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$624.2¢0.0¢-$62
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?PoliticsYesResolved$121.5¢0.0¢-$12
Xi Jinping out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?PoliticsYesResolved$160.3¢0.0¢-$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23.8¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$164.1¢0.0¢-$16
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $13m?CultureYesResolved$107.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1312.5¢0.0¢-$131
Will Trump say "Frack" or "Fracking" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsYesResolved$2054¢0.0¢-$20
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$47918¢0.0¢-$479
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?PoliticsYesResolved$401.4¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?MentionsYesResolved$2548¢0.0¢-$25
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$47.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?PoliticsYesResolved$41.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Pipeline" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?MentionsYesResolved$2039¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$171.3¢0.0¢-$17
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?PoliticsYesResolved$159.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?PoliticsYesResolved$180.4¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on July 25?PoliticsYesResolved$2058¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?PoliticsYesResolved$341.9¢0.0¢-$34
Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?MentionsYesResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$256.1¢0.0¢-$25
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?PoliticsYesResolved$181.3¢0.0¢-$18
Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3022¢0.0¢-$30
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K14¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?TechNoResolved$1303.4¢0.0¢-$130
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?PoliticsYesResolved$232¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?PoliticsYesResolved$23236¢0.0¢-$232
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$3533¢0.0¢-$35
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$184.1¢0.0¢-$18
Will Israel strike Syria on Friday August 29?PoliticsYesResolved$583.9¢0.0¢-$58
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24?PoliticsYesResolved$662.1¢0.0¢-$66
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$159.0¢0.0¢-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$444.8¢0.0¢-$44
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?PoliticsYesResolved$25.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?MentionsNoResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$110.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?PoliticsYesResolved$460.3¢0.0¢-$46
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?World CupYesResolved$291.6¢0.0¢-$29
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?PoliticsNoResolved$3083¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.0K
Culture-$178
Mentions-$137
Crypto-$134
Tech-$127
World Cup-$40
Tennis-$24
MLB-$17
NBA+$10
Other-$3
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$769
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$853
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$41mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?$161mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$31mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$41mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$21mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$21mo ago
  • Sold No · US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$61mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$41mo ago
  • Bought No · US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$141mo ago
  • Bought No · US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$11mo ago