 Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Tech | No | $30 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Tech | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 79¢ | +$14 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
 US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $12 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $23 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Netanyahu" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Grok 5 released by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will PewDiePie’s next video get less than 1.0 million views on day 1?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | NoResolved | $7 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will PewDiePie’s next video get less than 1.5 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $57 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$33d ago
Sold Yes · Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$13d ago
Sold No · Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$13d ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?$18mo ago