 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $179 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$16 |
 Will Alexandre Pantoja win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | Yes | $200 | 9.9¢ | 9.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $57 | 4.0¢ | 8.0¢ | +$56 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $44 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $16 | 7.8¢ | 7.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 18¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 2.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $12 | 18¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 3.6¢ | -$2 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.8¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.6¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$0 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $96 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $57 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMA | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreChampions League | NoResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 UFC 317: Topuria vs. OliveiraUFC / MMA | OliveiraResolved | $68 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Giga Chikadze win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $262 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$262 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Terrance ChatmanResolved | $111 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
 Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $108 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $106 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $131 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Elisha EllisonResolved | $27 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $81 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Tech | YesResolved | $145 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | John YannisResolved | $23 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $27 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 VEO 4 released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Melissa MullinsResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Junior TafaResolved | $13 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $12 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Derrick LewisResolved | $32 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $17 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $5 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Burns vs. MoralesUFC / MMA | BurnsResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $34 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)UFC / MMA | Djorden SantosResolved | $26 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $22 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $55 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Ariane CarnelossiResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Michael ChandlerResolved | $25 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $19 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $26 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Aiemann ZahabiResolved | $40 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $24 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $131 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
| UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Kyle DaukausResolved | $20 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Sold No · Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$311h ago