jackfaleman

Predicting since Mar 202659 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $847 riding on Will Iran strike a Gulf State on...?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	10.0¢	8.5¢	-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics	Yes	$12	23¢	16¢	-$4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7?Weather	YesResolved	$78	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$78
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$20
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics	YesResolved	$5	48¢	0.0¢	-$5
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	YesResolved	$26	21¢	0.0¢	-$26
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?Politics	NoResolved	$847	20¢	0.0¢	-$847
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture	YesResolved	$5	11¢	0.0¢	-$5
Golden Knights vs. HurricanesNHL	Golden KnightsResolved	$10	41¢	0.0¢	-$10
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	24¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup	YesResolved	$6	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$6
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaTennis	Maja ChwalinskaResolved	$10	18¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	13¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?Weather	NoResolved	$142	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$142
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup	YesResolved	$5	53¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture	YesResolved	$5	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$5
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics	NoResolved	$2	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	26¢	0.0¢	-$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Politics	YesResolved	$16	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$16
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	20¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$3	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Politics	NoResolved	$1	81¢	0.0¢	-$1
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Other	NoResolved	$21	41¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	50¢	0.0¢	-$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$13	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$13
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$11	38¢	0.0¢	-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$849

Weather-$220

Other-$21

Crypto+$18

Culture-$15

World Cup-$12

Tennis-$10

NHL-$8

NBA+$7

Tech+$3

Mentions-$3

Biggest hit

+$77

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$45

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?

Recent moves

Bought No · Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$2117d ago
Cashed out No · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$951mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$151mo ago
Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?$01mo ago
Bought No · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$181mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$201mo ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$11mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$01mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$171mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?$01mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?$01mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?$01mo ago