← Whale Watch

MagicEightBall

Predicting since Nov 2024344 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.3K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $2.3K riding on Cuban regime falls in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$12K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K19¢18¢-$142
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$63034¢8.5¢-$471
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$720.6¢0.7¢+$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$850.7¢0.4¢-$28
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$80.7¢0.4¢-$4
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?PoliticsNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?CultureYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$172.3¢0.0¢-$17
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$133.7¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsNoResolved$621.7¢0.0¢-$62
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%?CultureYesResolved$237.7¢0.0¢-$23
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10711¢0.0¢-$107
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$130.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?CultureYesResolved$10614¢0.0¢-$106
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1619¢0.0¢-$16
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8726¢0.0¢-$87
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$580.6¢0.0¢-$58
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 24?PoliticsYesResolved$462.2¢0.0¢-$46
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1249.0¢0.0¢-$124
Will Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$153.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?CultureYesResolved$4714¢0.0¢-$47
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?PoliticsYesResolved$39127¢0.0¢-$391
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5123¢0.0¢-$51
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?CultureYesResolved$1407.0¢0.0¢-$140
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$90.8¢0.0¢-$9
North Korea missile launch by October 15?PoliticsYesResolved$12511¢0.0¢-$125
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1135.7¢0.0¢-$113
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?CultureYesResolved$16713¢0.0¢-$167
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$31.3¢0.0¢-$3
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$551.6¢0.0¢-$55
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?PoliticsNoResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1383.4¢0.0¢-$138
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?PoliticsYesResolved$43521¢0.0¢-$435
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?PoliticsYesResolved$65523¢0.0¢-$655
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K18¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?PoliticsYesResolved$1903.2¢0.0¢-$190
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$16711¢0.0¢-$167
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$175.8¢0.0¢-$17
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$26819¢0.0¢-$268
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?CryptoNoResolved$19711¢0.0¢-$197
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$5510.0¢0.0¢-$55
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$132.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11828¢0.0¢-$118
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2865.7¢0.0¢-$286
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6485.6¢0.0¢-$648
Will "Smurfs" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-11m?CultureYesResolved$1429¢0.0¢-$14
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?CultureYesResolved$1698.5¢0.0¢-$169
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$111.7¢0.0¢-$11
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?CultureYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$193.4¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$24917¢0.0¢-$249
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?CultureYesResolved$43.5¢0.0¢-$4
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$130.6¢0.0¢-$13
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$81.5¢0.0¢-$8
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$90711¢0.0¢-$907
Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?PoliticsYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?PoliticsNoResolved$540.8¢0.0¢-$54
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$9715¢0.0¢-$97
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$426.0¢0.0¢-$42
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$996.3¢0.0¢-$99
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?CultureYesResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?PoliticsYesResolved$222.1¢0.0¢-$22
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$113.4¢0.0¢-$11
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?PoliticsYesResolved$31.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $39m?CultureNoResolved$4413¢0.0¢-$44
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 23?PoliticsYesResolved$131.7¢0.0¢-$13
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$82542¢0.0¢-$825
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$20520¢0.0¢-$205
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?CultureYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?CryptoYesResolved$90.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19416¢0.0¢-$194
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 25?PoliticsYesResolved$340.2¢0.0¢-$34
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?CultureYesResolved$18917¢0.0¢-$189
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K48¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$7213¢0.0¢-$72
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$2862.0¢0.0¢-$286
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7812¢0.0¢-$78
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3711¢0.0¢-$37
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$190.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?CultureYesResolved$152.1¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$9.3K
Mentions+$2.8K
Crypto+$1.5K
Other+$1.2K
Weather+$891
Finance+$227
NBA-$99
Economy-$29
Culture-$23
Tech+$20
Cricket-$20
Other sports+$17
Biggest hit
+$12K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.7K
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$17h ago
  • Sold Yes · Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$5221h ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$661d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$661d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$102d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$82d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$202d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$12d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$402d ago
  • Sold No · Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?$94d ago
  • Sold No · Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?$144d ago