 Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will "Sanders" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $23 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $58 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?NFL | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Discombobulating" or "Discombobulated" this week? (February 15)Mentions | YesResolved | $202 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$202 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $50 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Corruption" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $85 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
| Will "Switzerland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $72 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Midterm" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $6 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Mentions | NoResolved | $15 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?NFL | YesResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $42 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $27 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $11 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $36 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 11?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 19, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US strike Nigeria next?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $27 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 16, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Black Vote" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Love Trump" during the Black History Month reception?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $12 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Leavitt say "President" or "Administration" 66+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | NoResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" during the Champion of Coal event?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$26mo ago