← Whale Watch

garlictrump

Predicting since Jun 2025479 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $17K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $16K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$9.3K92¢95¢+$332
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.9K97¢99¢+$159
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.7K96¢99¢+$86
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?FinanceYes$2.0K88¢89¢+$5
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.9K94¢98¢+$88
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K78¢84¢+$123
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.6K82¢85¢+$52
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K87¢94¢+$113
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$73473¢80¢+$61
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$71289¢95¢+$51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$55365¢88¢+$191
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$58681¢94¢+$92
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$54090¢99¢+$59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$34737¢63¢+$235
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?FinanceYes$81473¢51¢-$251
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$45575¢79¢+$26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$36492¢94¢+$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31478¢92¢+$52
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoNo$42541¢35¢-$59
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$26667¢86¢+$76
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$22957¢80¢+$91
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$49976¢45¢-$205
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$23868¢81¢+$44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$14526¢49¢+$126
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19142¢40¢-$12
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$10268¢93¢+$37
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$7257¢94¢+$46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$5427¢56¢+$59
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$10542¢41¢-$4
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7575¢91¢+$16
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?PoliticsNo$4845¢43¢-$2
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?TechYes$1020¢25¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$334¢69¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$17K
Tech+$5.1K
Mentions-$927
Culture+$226
Crypto+$192
Finance-$176
Economy+$55
Olympics+$12
Other+$10
Weather+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$11653m ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1052h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$472h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$4452h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?$8942h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$62h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1702h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1222h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$32h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$22h ago
  • Sold No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$32h ago