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Thukydides

Predicting since Apr 2025489 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $100K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

Right now: $98K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$10.0K on Starmer out by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$49K50¢80¢+$29K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$49K50¢20¢-$29K
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$9.6K87¢99¢+$1.3K
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$9.2K92¢96¢+$402
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.5K67¢80¢+$1.3K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4.7K55¢56¢+$127
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$3.3K80¢82¢+$86
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$3.4K83¢84¢+$20
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$2.9K72¢73¢+$34
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$2.6K83¢84¢+$32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K38¢24¢-$582
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$76356¢59¢+$45
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$7966¢66¢-$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$5252¢64¢+$12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5651¢43¢-$9
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?PoliticsYes$378.8¢9.9¢+$5
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2151¢43¢-$3
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3.2K23¢0.1¢-$3.2K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$100K
Culture+$8.4K
Crypto+$3.4K
Olympics-$2.6K
Tech+$2.3K
NHL+$755
World Cup-$619
Mentions-$441
Economy-$298
UFC / MMA+$203
Soccer (other)+$44
Other-$11
Biggest hit
+$10.0K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$18K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$425h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$2065h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1835h ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.5K18h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$121d ago
  • Sold No · Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$9961d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$21d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$151d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$2.4K1d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.0K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.4K2d ago