← Whale Watch

Rafivargo

Predicting since Jan 202624 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $561 riding on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?CryptoYes$6868¢77¢+$9
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3636¢43¢+$7
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5011¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2346¢0.0¢-$23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow PlayoffseSportsFURIAResolved$1815¢0.0¢-$18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$56124¢0.0¢-$561
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$98.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$57.2¢0.0¢-$5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$8517¢0.0¢-$85
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$1035.1¢0.0¢-$103
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$54.8¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$609
Crypto+$219
eSports-$18
Biggest hit
+$253
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Toughest beat
-$130
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1003mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4203mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1354mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$224mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$684mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$144mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$04mo ago
  • Bought No · Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$664mo ago
  • Bought No · Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$94mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$504mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$14mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$114mo ago