 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $83 | 4.1¢ | 2.9¢ | -$25 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $68 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$17 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $103 | 21¢ | 10¢ | -$53 |
 Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $86 | 4.1¢ | 2.3¢ | -$38 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $53 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $40 | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $28 | 5.7¢ | 8.0¢ | +$11 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $40 | 6.0¢ | 5.8¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?Politics | No | $40 | 5.4¢ | 5.1¢ | -$3 |
 Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 6.8¢ | 6.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$29 |
 Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $34 | 5.8¢ | 6.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $54 | 16¢ | 10¢ | -$20 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $45 | 3.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?Politics | No | $27 | 4.8¢ | 5.8¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?Politics | No | $40 | 5.3¢ | 4.3¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?Politics | No | $40 | 5.8¢ | 4.6¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $33 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?Politics | No | $32 | 6.3¢ | 6.3¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?Politics | No | $40 | 4.9¢ | 3.8¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?Politics | No | $26 | 5.2¢ | 6.0¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $17 | 1.1¢ | 1.8¢ | +$12 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?Crypto | No | $30 | 31¢ | 29¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 5.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -$19 |
| Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?Other sports | No | $2 | 6.5¢ | 98¢ | +$26 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $28 | 6.6¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $30 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $33 | 6.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -$6 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 8.5¢ | 11¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?Politics | Yes | $24 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 5.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 3.4¢ | 3.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 3.0¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?Politics | No | $22 | 4.7¢ | 5.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $41 | 5.3¢ | 3.1¢ | -$17 |
 Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat?Politics | No | $26 | 6.6¢ | 6.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $43 | 4.5¢ | 2.5¢ | -$19 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $9 | 4.6¢ | 12¢ | +$15 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $32 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
| Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?Politics | No | $38 | 9.5¢ | 5.9¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 5.9¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $12 | 7.9¢ | 16¢ | +$11 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.7¢ | 1.1¢ | +$9 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $24 | 5.4¢ | 5.3¢ | -$1 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | Yes | $33 | 4.8¢ | 3.4¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | No | $40 | 8.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $22 | 4.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.3¢ | 0.5¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Politics | No | $24 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | No | $30 | 74¢ | 56¢ | -$7 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.3¢ | 11¢ | +$7 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.5¢ | 7.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 83¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 2.4¢ | 2.7¢ | +$2 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $45 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$23 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?Politics | No | $44 | 5.2¢ | 2.5¢ | -$23 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Politics | Yes | $29 | 9.8¢ | 7.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.3¢ | 17¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?Politics | No | $22 | 6.2¢ | 5.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $24 | 2.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Politics | No | $19 | 5.8¢ | 6.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 7.8¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 5.3¢ | 3.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $55 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$35 |
 Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.3¢ | 1.1¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $22 | 7.3¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 5.3¢ | 3.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?Politics | Yes | $21 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 5.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $18 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $19 | 5.6¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?Politics | No | $15 | 5.1¢ | 6.3¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $13 | 8.5¢ | 12¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $25 | 8.3¢ | 6.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 5.1¢ | 8.9¢ | +$8 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | No | $22 | 5.6¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
 Tom Lee charged by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $27 | 8.2¢ | 5.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat?Politics | No | $17 | 6.2¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $22 | 4.1¢ | 3.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $22 | 4.9¢ | 3.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $18 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.0¢ | 14¢ | +$11 |
 Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 2.4¢ | +$15 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 8.0¢ | 5.3¢ | -$9 |
 Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 7.4¢ | 9.5¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 5.3¢ | 4.3¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?Politics | Yes | $16 | 5.5¢ | 5.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 7.8¢ | 5.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?Mentions | No | $19 | 7.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 6.1¢ | 3.1¢ | -$16 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by July 31?Finance | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 33¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $18 | 6.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 8.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$10 |
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