← Whale Watch

ElChucoSiempre

Predicting since Nov 2025108 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.1K on Tech markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$50020¢8.5¢-$290
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?PoliticsYes$3007.9¢2.6¢-$200
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsYes$10015¢5.5¢-$62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K22¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1?CryptoYesResolved$1009.3¢0.0¢-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$504.6¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 24?CryptoYesResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$101.5¢0.0¢-$10
Nuggets vs. MavericksNBANuggetsResolved$1001.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$200.7¢0.0¢-$20
Venezuela ParlayPoliticsYesResolved$504.5¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 23?CryptoYesResolved$10025¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 22?CryptoYesResolved$503.0¢0.0¢-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$501.3¢0.0¢-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.9¢0.0¢-$100
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 26?CryptoYesResolved$2519¢0.0¢-$25
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?BoxingYesResolved$3511¢0.0¢-$35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 27?CryptoYesResolved$500.1¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 26?CryptoYesResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 23?CryptoYesResolved$10011¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 24?CryptoYesResolved$5014¢0.0¢-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30014¢0.0¢-$300
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?CryptoYesResolved$10080¢0.0¢-$100
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?TechYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$504.2¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 26?CryptoYesResolved$10034¢0.0¢-$100
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud?PoliticsYesResolved$501.7¢0.0¢-$50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20020¢0.0¢-$200
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 23?CryptoYesResolved$252.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump release the sanctioned oil tanker by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$204.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?PoliticsYesResolved$505.1¢0.0¢-$50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1000.8¢0.0¢-$100
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20013¢0.0¢-$200
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K21¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?PoliticsYesResolved$10012¢0.0¢-$100
Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$195.3¢0.0¢-$19
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$509.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 24?CryptoYesResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25?CryptoYesResolved$10042¢0.0¢-$100
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$306.0¢0.0¢-$30
Bucks vs. NuggetsNBABucksResolved$254.9¢0.0¢-$25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$202.5¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.1¢0.0¢-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$192.5¢0.0¢-$19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 23?CryptoYesResolved$10042¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?PoliticsNoResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$956.0¢0.0¢-$95
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?CryptoYesResolved$250.4¢0.0¢-$25
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$202.8¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?CryptoUpResolved$1003.9¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$30010.0¢0.0¢-$300
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36917¢0.0¢-$369
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?CryptoYesResolved$30075¢0.0¢-$300
Will "Simon Cowell: The Next Act" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)CultureYesResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 26?CryptoYesResolved$253.1¢0.0¢-$25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 23?CryptoYesResolved$5014¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$2.1K
Crypto-$1.8K
Finance+$1.7K
Politics-$1.2K
Other sports+$266
NBA-$125
Basketball (other)+$92
Boxing-$35
Mentions+$28
Weather-$8
Culture-$6
Economy-$3
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 25?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$203mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$203mo ago
  • Bought No · Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$503mo ago
  • Bought No · Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?$203mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$203mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$103mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$303mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$103mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$53mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$604mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1394mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$854mo ago