← Whale Watch

coldhot

Predicting since Apr 20266,808 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$118.3¢30¢+$29
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in July?EconomyNo$1991¢93¢+$0
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?WeatherNo$839¢97¢+$12
Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$2996¢63¢-$10
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$2099¢91¢-$2
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$1714¢15¢+$1
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$1314¢20¢+$5
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsNo$1056¢90¢+$6
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?EconomyNo$1259¢76¢+$4
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?EconomyYes$1017¢26¢+$6
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?EconomyYes$314¢76¢+$12
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$88.3¢16¢+$7
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$01.6¢50¢+$14
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$614¢31¢+$7
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$118.3¢9.3¢+$1
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$414¢49¢+$9
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?PoliticsYes$214¢83¢+$10
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in July?EconomyYes$1017¢21¢+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$614¢29¢+$6
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureNo$1679¢59¢-$4
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$78.3¢14¢+$5
Will Toby Doeden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%?PoliticsYes$49.1¢28¢+$7
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?TechNo$1195¢92¢-$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$88.3¢11¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$1029¢30¢+$0
Will voter turnout be between 70% and 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1020¢20¢-$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$78.3¢11¢+$2
Will Lola Tomaszewski win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Manuel "Manu" Ibero win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Brian Sarmiento win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Eduardo Carrera win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Jennifer "Pincoya" Galvarini win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Franco Zunino win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Yanina Zilli win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Will Emanuel Di Gioia win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢50¢+$9
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢31¢+$9
Will Luana Fernández win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢49¢+$9
Will Yisela "Yipio" Pintos win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢49¢+$9
Will Nazareno Pompei win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢48¢+$9
Will Cinzia Francischiello win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢46¢+$8
Will Lola "Lolo" Poggio win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢46¢+$8
Will Juan "Juanicar" Caruso win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢46¢+$8
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $2.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$118.3¢5.9¢-$3
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?EconomyYes$317¢39¢+$4
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢24¢+$7
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢23¢+$6
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsNo$621¢23¢+$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$614¢16¢+$1
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$88.3¢7.1¢-$1
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$58.3¢11¢+$1
James Norton announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢22¢+$6
Will Jessica "La Maciel" win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureNo$330¢56¢+$3
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?EconomyYes$317¢32¢+$3
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?CultureNo$714¢13¢-$1
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?CultureYes$314¢30¢+$3
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$680¢80¢-$0
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 5–10%?PoliticsYes$49.1¢16¢+$3
Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢6.6¢+$0
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$947¢30¢-$3
Will Andrea del Boca win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢31¢+$5
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?EconomyNo$35.5¢11¢+$3
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢18¢+$5
James Collier announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$02.0¢29¢+$5
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsYes$217¢37¢+$3
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$02.0¢30¢+$5
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$414¢17¢+$1
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$58.3¢7.8¢-$0
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢17¢+$4
Will Maruti Suzuki India Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢5.6¢-$1
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?EconomyYes$314¢23¢+$2
Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;EconomyYes$66.3¢5.0¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$417¢17¢+$0
Will ICICI Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢4.8¢-$1
Will Infosys Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$46.3¢6.2¢-$0
Will HDFC Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢4.8¢-$1
Will Hindustan Unilever Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢4.6¢-$1
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%?EconomyYes$314¢20¢+$1
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$02.0¢22¢+$4
Will George Pickens play for Chicago Bears in 2026-27?NFLNo$120¢73¢+$3
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$39.1¢14¢+$1
Will the median home value in NYC be between $582,000 and $609,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$414¢12¢-$1
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢4.0¢-$2
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$02.0¢19¢+$3
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢12¢+$3
Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?CultureYes$02.0¢49¢+$3
Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$414¢11¢-$1
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?PoliticsNo$348¢59¢+$1
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYes$12.0¢11¢+$3
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?TechYes$111¢33¢+$2
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$49.1¢8.1¢-$0
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$56.3¢3.6¢-$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?TechYes$614¢7.0¢-$3
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?EconomyYes$314¢14¢-$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$323¢23¢+$0
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?NFLYes$03.0¢89¢+$3
Will Wayne Russell be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$39.1¢7.6¢-$1
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$1714¢2.1¢-$15
Will Life Insurance Corporation of India be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢2.9¢-$3
Will Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?EconomyYes$66.3¢2.9¢-$3
Will the US lose jobs in July?EconomyYes$1017¢4.2¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$182
MLB-$80
Culture+$79
Economy-$55
Tech+$35
NBA-$27
Weather-$10
Other sports-$4
NFL-$2
World Cup-$0
Premier League+$0
Biggest hit
+$13
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?
Toughest beat
-$4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 21?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$208d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?$1310d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Cody Bellinger be named the 2026 MLB All-Star Game MVP?$4211d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will someone else record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$611d ago
  • Bought No · Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$812d ago
  • Sold No · Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?$2212d ago
  • Sold No · Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?$2812d ago
  • Sold No · Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?$6112d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?$4512d ago
  • Sold No · Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?$1512d ago
  • Sold No · Will The Tonys win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?$4612d ago
  • Sold No · Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by less than 5%?$3612d ago