← Whale Watch

ImNotBetting

Predicting since Apr 2025840 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.4K on Politics markets since Apr 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$3026¢83¢+$65
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$2221¢81¢+$61
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$169.8¢45¢+$57
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$355.6¢8.5¢+$18
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$239.0¢17¢+$19
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1625¢66¢+$26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$204.5¢8.8¢+$19
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$433.7¢2.9¢-$9
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$2955¢64¢+$4
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$167.6¢15¢+$16
Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$258.2¢8.9¢+$2
Will Hunter Gordon advance to the general election for WA-01?PoliticsYes$1220¢44¢+$13
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1520¢33¢+$10
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?PoliticsNo$3019¢16¢-$5
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsYes$1015¢36¢+$14
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$2836¢31¢-$4
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1118¢38¢+$12
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?PoliticsYes$1818¢23¢+$4
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1026¢57¢+$12
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?PoliticsYes$1039¢81¢+$11
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?PoliticsYes$1014¢27¢+$10
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$931¢59¢+$9
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$920¢40¢+$9
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$1327¢36¢+$5
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$1114¢21¢+$6
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYes$1117¢25¢+$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1041¢63¢+$5
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?PoliticsNo$625¢57¢+$8
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$1026¢36¢+$4
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?PoliticsNo$1530¢27¢-$2
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$624¢52¢+$7
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?PoliticsNo$2239¢22¢-$10
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?Soccer (other)Yes$820¢32¢+$5
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1023¢29¢+$2
Will Remco Evenepoel finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$430¢91¢+$8
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1431¢27¢-$2
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?PoliticsNo$1029¢34¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$1212¢12¢-$1
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$1226¢24¢-$1
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$910¢13¢+$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1112¢12¢-$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$102.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$1028¢28¢-$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$57.0¢14¢+$5
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1216¢12¢-$3
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$713¢16¢+$2
Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$84.6¢4.5¢-$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1016¢14¢-$2
Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?PoliticsNo$613¢18¢+$2
Will Heath Howard be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$114.3¢3.1¢-$3
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$931¢27¢-$1
Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1013¢11¢-$2
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$815¢14¢-$0
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsYes$610¢13¢+$1
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$69.5¢12¢+$1
Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$57.8¢11¢+$2
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$69.1¢11¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?PoliticsYes$107.0¢5.0¢-$3
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$262.6¢0.7¢-$19
Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsYes$624¢28¢+$1
Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?PoliticsNo$711¢11¢-$0
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$95.0¢3.6¢-$3
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$106.2¢4.0¢-$4
Will Doug Basler advance to the general election for WA-09?PoliticsNo$643¢45¢+$0
Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$67.2¢7.5¢+$0
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$78.1¢7.0¢-$1
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?PoliticsNo$54.1¢4.3¢+$0
Will Lyric Medeiros win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$54.9¢5.1¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$311¢18¢+$2
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$520¢20¢-$0
Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$38.0¢13¢+$2
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$63.3¢2.6¢-$1
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$513¢12¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$717¢11¢-$3
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$512¢11¢-$1
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsNo$333¢48¢+$1
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$612¢8.5¢-$2
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$914¢6.8¢-$5
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$52.2¢1.8¢-$1
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$535¢29¢-$1
Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$212¢24¢+$2
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$70.9¢0.5¢-$3
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$529¢22¢-$1
Will Roy Cooper be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsYes$11.1¢4.3¢+$3
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$25.1¢8.3¢+$1
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$312¢12¢-$0
Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?PoliticsYes$33.9¢3.7¢-$0
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$310¢9.5¢-$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?PoliticsYes$59.2¢5.1¢-$2
Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$23.9¢5.1¢+$1
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$512¢6.0¢-$2
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.7¢0.5¢-$1
Will Don Ufford be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$41.4¢0.7¢-$2
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$22.0¢2.1¢+$0
Will Alaska have the closest Governor's race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23.3¢3.4¢+$0
Will LaTrice Verrett win Big Brother season 28?CultureYes$10.9¢1.8¢+$1
Will New Hampshire have the closest Governor's race in 2026?PoliticsYes$32.9¢1.8¢-$1
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsYes$35.8¢3.7¢-$1
Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNo$337¢23¢-$1
Will Melissa Chaudhry advance to the general election for WA-09?PoliticsYes$29.7¢7.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.4K
Culture+$105
World Cup-$33
Champions League-$32
Formula 1-$15
Serie A-$12
Tech-$9
Other-$8
Other sports+$7
Tennis-$7
La Liga-$5
Bundesliga-$4
Biggest hit
+$125
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Toughest beat
-$38
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?$25h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?$55h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Adam Murphy be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$21d ago
  • Bought No · Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$21d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?$11d ago