← Whale Watch

mombil

Predicting since Jul 20242,818 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $234K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $250K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$27K on Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$125K50¢73¢+$58K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$125K50¢27¢-$58K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$45K82¢96¢+$7.5K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$11K3.9¢5.1¢+$3.8K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$11K22¢20¢-$1.4K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$5.3K69¢80¢+$793
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2.0K45¢81¢+$1.6K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4.2K15¢13¢-$762
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?Soccer (other)No$1.7K56¢99¢+$1.3K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.6K8.1¢14¢+$1.1K
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.4K2.1¢2.4¢+$327
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1465.2¢93¢+$2.4K
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K31¢66¢+$1.4K
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K92¢99¢+$154
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1.8K46¢61¢+$551
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.0K1.3¢1.6¢+$345
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$8696.3¢16¢+$1.3K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$2.0K9.0¢8.5¢-$111
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8K95¢99¢+$83
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$1.8K91¢94¢+$60
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K92¢99¢+$123
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5049.0¢31¢+$1.3K
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K92¢98¢+$113
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K94¢99¢+$87
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K91¢96¢+$79
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1121.0¢14¢+$1.4K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$2.1K47¢33¢-$650
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.3K93¢99¢+$79
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1021.0¢14¢+$1.3K
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$91766¢91¢+$344
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$84032¢48¢+$420
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$99974¢81¢+$98
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9442.0¢2.4¢+$142
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K28¢22¢-$312
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K96¢97¢+$9
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.0K31¢33¢+$48
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$83081¢95¢+$148
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsNo$92194¢96¢+$15
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$81357¢65¢+$113
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$86692¢98¢+$48
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$81288¢97¢+$74
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7861.9¢2.1¢+$93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$69475¢83¢+$73
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$69490¢94¢+$29
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$60473¢88¢+$116
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$1.2K20¢12¢-$506
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsYes$99618¢13¢-$316
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$64794¢96¢+$14
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$54682¢97¢+$97
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$34110¢19¢+$277
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsNo$56384¢89¢+$29
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$57393¢96¢+$18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.3K58¢27¢-$706
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$53489¢97¢+$43
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$37635¢52¢+$183
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$3.3K18¢2.8¢-$2.8K
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4124.3¢5.1¢+$71
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$48291¢91¢-$0
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$45788¢92¢+$20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$41218¢20¢+$54
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$32676¢97¢+$93
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$12825¢81¢+$288
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3980.6¢0.7¢+$5
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$37890¢94¢+$17
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4001.2¢1.1¢-$17
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$46982¢67¢-$87
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$38369¢67¢-$14
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4000.4¢0.4¢-$50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?PoliticsNo$31189¢96¢+$24
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$32477¢75¢-$10
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2042.2¢2.9¢+$65
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$93031¢8.5¢-$675
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$12147¢98¢+$132
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$12758¢100¢+$93
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYes$31130¢20¢-$102
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$24519¢16¢-$39
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$14365¢93¢+$62
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$18366¢73¢+$19
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsYes$2073.1¢3.0¢-$7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$79754¢13¢-$614
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$16182¢90¢+$16
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$14474¢87¢+$25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechNo$31939¢19¢-$168
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$26518¢10¢-$117
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsNo$15095¢93¢-$4
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsNo$11580¢97¢+$25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$17325¢20¢-$36
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1411¢99¢+$117
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$40535¢11¢-$276
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyNo$8759¢88¢+$41
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3500.7¢0.3¢-$225
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3001.0¢0.4¢-$195
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3270.8¢0.3¢-$225
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?PoliticsNo$8990¢94¢+$4
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$7371¢89¢+$19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16317¢8.5¢-$81
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?Other sportsYes$6683¢99¢+$13
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$67119¢2.1¢-$595
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$5970¢84¢+$11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?PoliticsNo$6184¢92¢+$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$234K
Mentions+$12K
World Cup-$6.5K
Economy-$3.1K
Culture+$1.9K
Soccer (other)+$1.3K
Crypto-$948
Tech+$946
NFL-$890
Champions League+$840
Other sports-$646
College Football-$328
Biggest hit
+$27K
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Toughest beat
-$31K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$11h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$707h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$7818h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$018h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$018h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$019h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$019h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$019h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35620h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$18520h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$120h ago