 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $507 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$101 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $384 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $386 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $372 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $219 | 63¢ | 88¢ | +$87 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $347 | 69¢ | 48¢ | -$109 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $386 | 64¢ | 38¢ | -$161 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $182 | 70¢ | 79¢ | +$25 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $142 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$58 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $136 | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$62 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $189 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $186 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $300 | 75¢ | 44¢ | -$126 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $303 | 91¢ | 49¢ | -$140 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | No | $110 | 55¢ | 81¢ | +$51 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $131 | 62¢ | 75¢ | +$27 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$7 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $152 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$6 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $184 | 43¢ | 33¢ | -$44 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $112 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $106 | 53¢ | 63¢ | +$19 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $157 | 44¢ | 31¢ | -$48 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $108 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $144 | 36¢ | 26¢ | -$42 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $77 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$23 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $90 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 23, 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $76 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$18 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $49 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $49 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | Yes | $33 | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$14 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | Yes | $61 | 43¢ | 23¢ | -$29 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $18 | 44¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $148 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $215 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$215 |
 Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $19 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $283 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$283 |