 Will "The Uprising" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $634 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will "Runner" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $510 | 82¢ | 76¢ | -$36 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $383 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $143 | 55¢ | 89¢ | +$89 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $326 | 81¢ | 58¢ | -$95 |
 Will "By Any Means" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $166 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$44 |
| Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $366 | 64¢ | 36¢ | -$163 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $299 | 54¢ | 36¢ | -$100 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $152 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$46 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $159 | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$38 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $262 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$66 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $156 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$29 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $178 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $150 | 75¢ | 91¢ | +$31 |
 Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $169 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will "The Fix" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $152 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$19 |
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $148 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $110 | 71¢ | 98¢ | +$42 |
| Will "The Fix" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $138 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $34 | 21¢ | 91¢ | +$111 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | Yes | $134 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$9 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $58 | 49¢ | 85¢ | +$43 |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $75 | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $85 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $55 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$44 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $97 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $95 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $44 | 34¢ | 73¢ | +$50 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
 Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $83 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $82 | 41¢ | 37¢ | -$9 |
| Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $62 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $56 | 28¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $60 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $49 | 49¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
| Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $45 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
| Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $40 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?Politics | Yes | $74 | 37¢ | 17¢ | -$40 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $26 | 51¢ | 65¢ | +$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $85 | 85¢ | 32¢ | -$53 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 53¢ | 77¢ | +$10 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $53 | 53¢ | 24¢ | -$29 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $17 | 42¢ | 56¢ | +$6 |
| Will "Runner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $141 | 14¢ | 2.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $5 | 25¢ | 69¢ | +$9 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 79¢ | 14¢ | -$67 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $101 | 85¢ | 9.5¢ | -$90 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Resident Evil" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $11 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 56¢ | 21¢ | -$14 |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $30 | 50¢ | 9.5¢ | -$24 |
| Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $11 | 22¢ | 5.7¢ | -$8 |
| Will "The Uprising" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $67 | 67¢ | 2.1¢ | -$65 |
| Will "By Any Means" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $7 | 1.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$5 |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $144 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $37 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $184 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 McDonald's (MCD) Q2 global comparable sales growth <1.5%?Finance | NoResolved | $73 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $148 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$148 |
 Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture | NoResolved | $542 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$542 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $144 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $348 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$348 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Culture | NoResolved | $199 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$199 |
 Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $1.0K | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
| Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $263 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$263 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $330 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
 Will "Tony" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $30 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $57 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $215 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$215 |
 Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $133 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$133 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Culture | NoResolved | $226 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
 Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $32 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will "Buddy" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?Culture | NoResolved | $630 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$630 |
 GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $142 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $185 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
 Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $19 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will "The End of Oak Street" score at least 82 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBA | NoResolved | $44 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $127 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$127 |
| Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $283 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$283 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $194 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$194 |
| Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $221 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?Culture | NoResolved | $247 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |