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papiliotempestae

Predicting since Apr 2026105 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$101.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53.9¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$135.5¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$108.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$109.6¢0.0¢-$10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$341.8¢0.0¢-$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCryptoDownResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$253.6¢0.0¢-$25
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$12017¢0.0¢-$120
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$21421¢0.0¢-$214
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1538¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.8¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$943¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2316¢0.0¢-$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.3¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUpResolved$203.4¢0.0¢-$20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$363.1¢0.0¢-$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$153.8¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$202.8¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$161.4¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$101.6¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$800.6¢0.0¢-$80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1546¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$61.8¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2514¢0.0¢-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$40.5¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$106.1¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$107.2¢0.0¢-$10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$211.0¢0.0¢-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1611¢0.0¢-$16
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$81.1¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$145.1¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?FinanceYesResolved$165.4¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$105.4¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1648¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?PoliticsYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$53.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?FinanceYesResolved$133.2¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$206.1¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2511¢0.0¢-$25

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$775
Crypto+$152
Finance-$29
NBA-$15
Champions League+$7
World Cup-$0
Biggest hit
+$292
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Toughest beat
-$102
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$11mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$41mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$41mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$01mo ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$31mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$01mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$01mo ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$11mo ago