← Whale Watch

alpaje

Predicting since May 2025394 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $49K on Politics markets since May 2025.

Right now: $2.8K across 5 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$10K on Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?NBAYes$780.1¢0.1¢-$39
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBANo$492.7¢2.0¢-$13
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1480.2¢0.1¢-$114
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBAYes$1110.3¢0.1¢-$91
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?NBAYes$380.1¢0.1¢-$19
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?NBAYes$370.1¢0.1¢-$18
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBAYes$8692.8¢0.1¢-$853
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?NBAYes$630.2¢0.1¢-$49
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?NBAYes$570.2¢0.1¢-$44
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?NBAYes$220.1¢0.1¢-$11
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$1880.9¢0.1¢-$177
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1260.6¢0.1¢-$116
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBAYes$200.1¢0.1¢-$10
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?NBAYes$170.1¢0.1¢-$8
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBAYes$1330.9¢0.1¢-$125
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$130.1¢0.1¢-$7
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?NBAYes$100.1¢0.1¢-$5
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?NBAYes$100.1¢0.1¢-$5
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBAYes$330.4¢0.1¢-$29
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?NBAYes$50.1¢0.1¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?NBAYes$50.1¢0.1¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?NBAYes$50.1¢0.1¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBAYes$160.4¢0.1¢-$14
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$30.1¢0.1¢-$2
Spread: Germany (-1.5)World CupCuraçaoResolved$216.0¢0.0¢-$21
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?NFLYesResolved$1339.7¢0.0¢-$133
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$10513¢0.0¢-$105
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$251.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$565.8¢0.0¢-$56
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16?BundesligaYesResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10019¢0.0¢-$100
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?BundesligaYesResolved$302.2¢0.0¢-$30
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$90.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureNoResolved$20029¢0.0¢-$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$146.8¢0.0¢-$14
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?TechNoResolved$17025¢0.0¢-$170
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$9916¢0.0¢-$99
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?World CupYesResolved$532.7¢0.0¢-$53
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$2810¢0.0¢-$28
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$191.7¢0.0¢-$19
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$10921¢0.0¢-$109
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?CryptoYesResolved$30021¢0.0¢-$300
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$17514¢0.0¢-$175
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2592.1¢0.0¢-$259
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$291.0¢0.0¢-$29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3940¢0.0¢-$39
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$70.5¢0.0¢-$7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Champions LeagueOverResolved$6511¢0.0¢-$65
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?World CupNoResolved$361.0¢0.0¢-$36
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?MentionsNoResolved$17516¢0.0¢-$175
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$171.6¢0.0¢-$17
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnereSportsTheMongolzResolved$6831¢0.0¢-$68
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2082.4¢0.0¢-$208
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureNoResolved$14919¢0.0¢-$149
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)NBACavaliersResolved$2713¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$221.3¢0.0¢-$22
Kenan Yıldız: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$15519¢0.0¢-$155
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1479.9¢0.0¢-$147
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$70.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Premier LeagueYesResolved$20028¢0.0¢-$200
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$264.9¢0.0¢-$26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5World CupOverResolved$251.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$20728¢0.0¢-$207
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreChampions LeagueYesResolved$41352¢0.0¢-$413
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$14421¢0.0¢-$144
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5025.5¢0.0¢-$502
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$1137.4¢0.0¢-$113
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$275¢0.0¢-$2
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?World CupYesResolved$551.2¢0.0¢-$55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)eSportsFaZeResolved$13220¢0.0¢-$132
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Cavaliers vs. KnicksNBACavaliersResolved$8913¢0.0¢-$89
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?World CupYesResolved$822.5¢0.0¢-$82
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$1917¢0.0¢-$19
Spread: Germany (-2.5)World CupCuraçaoResolved$5213¢0.0¢-$52
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$304.0¢0.0¢-$30
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)NBAThunderResolved$4724¢0.0¢-$47
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$12127¢0.0¢-$121
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?CultureNoResolved$191.8¢0.0¢-$19
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?NBAYesResolved$6239¢0.0¢-$62
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.6K2.3¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?PoliticsNoResolved$16143¢0.0¢-$161
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$392.5¢0.0¢-$39
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$815.5¢0.0¢-$81
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?Soccer (other)YesResolved$183.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)MentionsNoResolved$71.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?Soccer (other)YesResolved$10010.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$893.5¢0.0¢-$89
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$445.0¢0.0¢-$44
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?PoliticsNoResolved$1007.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2330.8¢0.0¢-$233
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$7613¢0.0¢-$76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Champions LeagueYesResolved$292.9¢0.0¢-$29
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)SC FreiburgResolved$564.0¢0.0¢-$56
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob MeneryBoxingMeneryResolved$11321¢0.0¢-$113
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$3921¢0.0¢-$39

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$49K
NBA+$8.9K
UFC / MMA+$6.9K
Culture-$3.3K
Champions League-$2.9K
Finance-$2.5K
NFL-$2.3K
Crypto-$1.3K
La Liga-$956
Boxing-$781
Mentions+$728
Tech-$667
Biggest hit
+$10K
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Toughest beat
-$16K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-26? AND Will Molde FK win on 2026-07-26?$104h ago
  • Bought Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5 AND Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5 AND KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5$104h ago
  • Bought Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 AND Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles AND Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$104h ago
  • Bought Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)$104h ago
  • Bought Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AND Exact Score: Malmo FF 1 - 1 IF Elfsborg?$104h ago
  • Bought Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$104h ago
  • Bought Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 AND Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$104h ago
  • Bought Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 AND GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5 AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 AND Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha AND Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5$114h ago
  • Bought Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 AND Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha AND Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$114h ago
  • Bought Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage AND KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC København win on 2026-07-26?$114h ago
  • Bought Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Julieta Pareja AND Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Varvara Lepchenko AND Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In AND Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage$104h ago
  • Bought No · Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$21d ago