 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.8¢ | 1.8¢ | -$4 |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Bukele visit on April 14?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Yoon in jail before August?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Norway PM events on April 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Klarna IPO in 2025?Finance | NoResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Communist" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 10+ times during Merz events on June 5?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Apple" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Michael Saylor say "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 90 day tariff pause rumor confirmed market manipulation?Other | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his May 13 interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will anyone say "India" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | YesResolved | $20 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Mentions | NoResolved | $4 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?$193mo ago
Sold No · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$324mo ago