SmileyTrader

Predicting since May 2025177 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	46¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$20	35¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?Politics	YesResolved	$2	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Culture	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Pope Leo visit Spain first?Culture	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	NoResolved	$66	94¢	0.0¢	-$66
2025 June hottest on record?Weather	YesResolved	$2	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$2	27¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Politics	YesResolved	$3	2.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?Crypto	NoResolved	$51	53¢	0.0¢	-$51
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Politics	NoResolved	$6	18¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Crypto	NoResolved	$18	26¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 25–August 1?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will no leader be out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	33¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?Politics	YesResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025?Other sports	YesResolved	$3	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$3
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?Crypto	YesResolved	$2	13¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$4	17¢	0.0¢	-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture+$282

Crypto-$90

Mentions-$53

Champions League-$12

eSports-$12

Soccer (other)+$8

Politics-$7

Other sports+$6

Formula 1-$3

NBA-$2

Weather-$2

Economy+$1

Biggest hit

+$168

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Toughest beat

-$15

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Fort Bragg remarks on June 10?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$666mo ago
Sold Yes · Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$406mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$46mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$226mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$110mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$110mo ago
Bought No · Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$31y ago
Sold Yes · Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$31y ago
Bought Yes · MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 22-28?$21y ago
Bought No · Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?$151y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?$11y ago
Bought Yes · Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?$11y ago