 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 86¢ | 15¢ | -$8 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $30 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $12 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $15 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $22 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $8 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $89 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $66 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $27 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $39 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $14 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |