 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $15K | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$1.5K |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $12K | 54¢ | 72¢ | +$4.0K |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $15K | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$568 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $11K | 51¢ | 42¢ | -$2.0K |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $6.8K | 65¢ | 88¢ | +$2.3K |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $7.6K | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$175 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $7.6K | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $7.0K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$150 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$1.6K |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $6.2K | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$549 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $4.2K | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$725 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.8K | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$270 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $3.7K | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$419 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.9K | 50¢ | 65¢ | +$847 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $1.9K | 48¢ | 42¢ | -$237 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $1.6K | 64¢ | 64¢ | -$7 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $1.5K | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$135 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Politics | No | $1.4K | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$135 |
 Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $1.5K | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$29 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $997 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$36 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $710 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$24 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $682 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$23 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $524 | 69¢ | 90¢ | +$152 |
 Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $287 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$31 |
 Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $257 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $201 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$43 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $221 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | No | $151 | 7.8¢ | 8.5¢ | +$14 |
 Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $94 | 62¢ | 79¢ | +$25 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | Yes | $91 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$21 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?Politics | No | $44 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $34 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $13 | 23¢ | 60¢ | +$21 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?Politics | No | $21 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?Culture | YesResolved | $26 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will South Africa finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | NoResolved | $20 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $94 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
| Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?World Cup | NoResolved | $42 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Joel ÁlvarezResolved | $711 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$711 |
 CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreLa Liga | NoResolved | $3.1K | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
| UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Jeremy StephensResolved | $262 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$262 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $131 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |