Mikelaawrey

Predicting since Jun 2025489 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $64K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics	No	$284	62¢	36¢	-$123
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics	Yes	$52	13¢	31¢	+$68
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$83	13¢	12¢	-$10
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	Yes	$214	48¢	15¢	-$147
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics	No	$247	57¢	16¢	-$180
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics	Yes	$76	40¢	15¢	-$48
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics	Yes	$34	9.0¢	6.0¢	-$11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$21	15¢	16¢	+$0
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Politics	Yes	$13	1.1¢	1.7¢	+$7
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics	No	$34	3.0¢	1.4¢	-$19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	Yes	$80	36¢	6.5¢	-$66
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Politics	Yes	$23	3.9¢	2.4¢	-$9
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics	Yes	$30	30¢	11¢	-$19
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech	Yes	$11	6.4¢	6.0¢	-$1
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics	Yes	$15	1.9¢	1.0¢	-$7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$48	40¢	6.5¢	-$40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics	Yes	$36	2.5¢	0.4¢	-$29
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	0.4¢	0.7¢	+$1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics	Yes	$18	18¢	3.3¢	-$15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	Yes	$11	9.8¢	2.9¢	-$8
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics	Yes	$3	16¢	16¢	-$0
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Politics	Yes	$6	9.0¢	4.5¢	-$3
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics	Yes	$2	12¢	8.0¢	-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics	NoResolved	$230	69¢	0.0¢	-$230

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$64K

World Cup-$40

UFC / MMA+$37

Tech-$16

Crypto-$11

Economy-$9

Weather-$8

Culture-$7

Mentions-$6

NFL+$4

Biggest hit

+$13K

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$5.8K

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$514h ago
Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$21d ago
Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$01d ago
Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$01d ago
Cashed out No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Cashed out Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$01d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention?$01d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Bought Yes · US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?$154d ago
Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$35d ago
Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$57d ago
Bought Yes · GTA 6 launch postponed again?$57d ago