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Mikelaawrey

Predicting since Jun 2025446 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $59K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.1K across 5 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsNo$56349¢30¢-$224
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$31933¢26¢-$70
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$24870¢59¢-$39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$35265¢37¢-$152
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$21448¢33¢-$68
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$32815¢6.5¢-$186
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$5213¢35¢+$86
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$30831¢13¢-$183
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsNo$15752¢37¢-$47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$22368¢20¢-$156
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$7640¢30¢-$19
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$8787¢56¢-$31
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsYes$9947¢23¢-$50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$2115¢21¢+$7
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$166.8¢11¢+$10
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$3042¢31¢-$8
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$2929¢20¢-$9
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$8036¢8.5¢-$61
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$4623¢8.5¢-$29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4840¢13¢-$33
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$7128¢5.5¢-$57
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$3030¢12¢-$18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$279.0¢2.8¢-$19
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$77.0¢7.5¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsYes$4065¢8.5¢-$35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$1818¢4.3¢-$14
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$3618¢2.1¢-$32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$119.8¢3.4¢-$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$612.8¢0.1¢-$58
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$23.4¢6.3¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$2019¢1.5¢-$18
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$241.7¢0.0¢-$24
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$3280¢0.0¢-$32
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$22.6¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$59K
World Cup-$40
UFC / MMA+$37
Tech-$15
Economy-$9
Weather-$7
Culture-$7
Crypto-$5
NFL+$4
Mentions-$4
Biggest hit
+$13K
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.8K
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$321h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$521h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$9421h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$19522h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$101d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$281d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$111d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$881d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$61d ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 15?$291d ago