simaogavina

Predicting since Jan 202674 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$2	30¢	22¢	-$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	No	$1	58¢	63¢	+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$1	93¢	98¢	+$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	72¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	77¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	90¢	0.0¢	-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$3	86¢	0.0¢	-$3
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics	DownResolved	$1	77¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	32¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics	Leadership ChangeResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	75¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$5	6.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)Mentions	YesResolved	$1	72¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?Champions League	YesResolved	$1	55¢	0.0¢	-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?Finance	UpResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	38¢	0.0¢	-$1
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceeSports	Ninjas in PyjamasResolved	$2	62¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech	YesResolved	$1	29¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$9

World Cup-$5

Crypto-$3

Weather+$3

Tech-$2

eSports-$2

Mentions-$1

Champions League-$1

Economy+$0

Finance-$0

Biggest hit

+$2

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

Toughest beat

-$2

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$525d ago
Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$126d ago
Bought Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$12mo ago
Bought No · Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$22mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$12mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$02mo ago
Sold No · Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?$12mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$12mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$12mo ago
Bought No · Netanyahu out by end of 2026?$14mo ago