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CarefulGovernment
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $29 | 42¢ | 12¢ | -$21 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Politics | Yes | $10 | 38¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$99
Crypto+$11
Biggest hit
+$11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$16mo ago
- Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$306mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$316mo ago