Last-Stepson

Predicting since May 2021733 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $13K on Politics markets since May 2021.

Right now: $5.7K across 3 Finance markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Finance	No	$3.9K	86¢	92¢	+$239
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Finance	No	$1.5K	73¢	81¢	+$177
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	86¢	59¢	-$413
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	57¢	28¢	-$644
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	Yes	$360	3.6¢	3.0¢	-$55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance	Yes	$233	58¢	70¢	+$48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech	Yes	$740	74¢	19¢	-$555
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech	Yes	$74	37¢	3.4¢	-$67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics	YesResolved	$195	78¢	0.0¢	-$195
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Politics	YesResolved	$6	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics	NoResolved	$1.3K	60¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$917	76¢	0.0¢	-$917
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$8	26¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$442	30¢	0.0¢	-$442
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Politics	YesResolved	$227	31¢	0.0¢	-$227
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$2.1K	66¢	0.0¢	-$2.1K
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$660	66¢	0.0¢	-$660
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$420	70¢	0.0¢	-$420
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics	YesResolved	$29	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$696	71¢	0.0¢	-$696
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Politics	YesResolved	$691	50¢	0.0¢	-$691
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$225	36¢	0.0¢	-$225
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Politics	YesResolved	$644	13¢	0.0¢	-$644

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$13K

Other-$1.7K

Tech-$622

Finance+$464

Biggest hit

+$15K

Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?

Toughest beat

-$14K

Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.5K6d ago
Cashed out No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$2007d ago
Bought No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$977d ago
Bought No · Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$337d ago
Bought No · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?$6507d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$4009d ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$30019d ago
Cashed out No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$57025d ago
Cashed out No · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$4526d ago
Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by October 31, 2026?$1.0K1mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$11K1mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10001mo ago