 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $278 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$92 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $322 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $276 | 38¢ | 44¢ | +$43 |
 Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?Mentions | Yes | $254 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $106 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$17 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Politics | Yes | $337 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$223 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$32 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $113 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$51 |
 Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $41 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $44 | 80¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $24 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $29 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$12 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$9 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 11¢ | 1.1¢ | -$62 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $409 | 41¢ | 0.7¢ | -$402 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 29, 2026?Tech | Yes | $22 | 14¢ | 3.7¢ | -$16 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $6 | 38¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.7¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 20¢ | 0.9¢ | -$37 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 10¢ | 0.4¢ | -$32 |
 Will "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Mentions | NoResolved | $113 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | NoResolved | $17 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $333 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$333 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $230 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
 Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $39 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $212 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$212 |
| Credible FDV above $30M one day after launch?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $161 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$161 |
 Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $11 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $7 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $178 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$178 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $127 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$127 |
 Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $59 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $77 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $136 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$136 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World Cup | NoResolved | $6 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
| Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Venezuela" at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World Cup | YesResolved | $84 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $104 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$1111d ago