Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $40 | 33¢ | 95¢ | +$76 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $20 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 9.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Tech | Yes | $31 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$16 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $10 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $10 | 57¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $40 | 38¢ | 7.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$3 |
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 34¢ | 5.0¢ | -$9 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the fight be won by submission?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Fight to Go the Distance?UFC / MMA | NoResolved | $20 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
X relaunches Vine before July?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $20 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Ian Machado GarryResolved | $30 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |