Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $14 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Sundar Pichai be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Epstein client list released in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the next James Bond be British?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?Crypto | UpResolved | $0 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Drake release an album in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $13 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnereSports | Procyon GamingResolved | $9 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Solana Up or Down - January 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
XRP Up or Down on January 14?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
XRP Up or Down on January 17?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on November 28?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1Other | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionPolitics | NoResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnereSports | AllianceResolved | $9 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Arjun Erigaisi qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFL | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Solana Up or Down on January 17?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifiereSports | NemigaResolved | $9 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 18?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
XRP Up or Down on January 15?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 16?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Democrats win two elections in Nov?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Solana Up or Down on January 19?Crypto | UpResolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | NoResolved | $7 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 13?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Solana Up or Down on March 9?Crypto | DownResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
New Air Force One in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 15?Crypto | UpResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $16 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on November 15?Crypto | YesResolved | $27 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will XRP reach $3.20 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Solana Up or Down on January 15?Crypto | UpResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Vincent Keymer qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?Weather | YesResolved | $16 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $9 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Fed rate hike in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Ethereum Up or Down on January 14?Crypto | DownResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $29 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
XRP Up or Down on January 16?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Solana Up or Down on January 18?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
XRP Up or Down on January 18?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Solana Up or Down on January 13?Crypto | DownResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Solana Up or Down on January 16?Crypto | UpResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Solana Up or Down on February 13?Crypto | DownResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Alireza Firouzja qualify for the 2026 World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $5 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Solana Up or Down on March 14?Crypto | UpResolved | $7 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
XRP Up or Down on January 19?Crypto | UpResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $14 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |