Trasul

Predicting since Dec 202552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics	Yes	$13	13¢	13¢	-$1
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics	No	$5	26¢	30¢	+$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$11	23¢	0.0¢	-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$4	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	32¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL	YesResolved	$5	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	62¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$9	17¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	56¢	0.0¢	-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$17	38¢	0.0¢	-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	59¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	40¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	45¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$32	19¢	0.0¢	-$32
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	40¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$9	19¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	52¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$6	20¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$49

Crypto-$35

Economy+$15

NHL-$5

Biggest hit

+$18

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Toughest beat

-$2

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$122mo ago
Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$22mo ago
Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$52mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$82mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$22mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$52mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$94mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$14mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$14mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$14mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$14mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$04mo ago