Trasul

Predicting since Dec 202552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics	Yes	$1	0.4¢	0.5¢	+$0
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics	No	$5	26¢	6.0¢	-$4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$11	23¢	0.0¢	-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$4	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	44¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	32¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL	YesResolved	$5	8.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	63¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$9	17¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$17	38¢	0.0¢	-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	43¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	60¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	41¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	46¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$32	19¢	0.0¢	-$32
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	41¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$9	19¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$6	20¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$0	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	44¢	0.0¢	-$1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	11¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$62

Crypto-$34

Economy+$15

NHL-$5

Biggest hit

+$18

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Toughest beat

-$10

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$323d ago
Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$124mo ago
Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$24mo ago
Bought No · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$54mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$84mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$24mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$54mo ago
Bought Yes · US forces enter Iran by March 31?$96mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$16mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$16mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$16mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$16mo ago