Arkenibon

Predicting since Oct 202445 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	Yes	$1	11¢	23¢	+$1
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech	No	$1	92¢	98¢	+$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?Politics	NoResolved	$1	49¢	0.0¢	-$1
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	78¢	0.0¢	-$1
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Politics	NoResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$1	34¢	0.0¢	-$1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Tech	NoResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Politics	YesResolved	$10	21¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	40¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	64¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Politics	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Finance	YesResolved	$3	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.9¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$25

Tech-$7

Finance-$3

World Cup+$1

Crypto-$1

Economy+$0

Biggest hit

+$3

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$1

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$29d ago
Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?$112d ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$112d ago
Bought No · Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$112d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?$112d ago
Bought No · Grok 4.4 released by July 17?$119d ago
Bought No · GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$119d ago
Sold No · GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$420d ago
Bought No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?$123d ago
Bought Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$123d ago
Bought No · GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$123d ago
Cashed out No · NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$225d ago