Arkenibon

Predicting since Oct 202462 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	41¢	65¢	+$3
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$5	9.0¢	7.5¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	73¢	63¢	-$0
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$1	63¢	69¢	+$0
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$1	43¢	47¢	+$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech	No	$1	19¢	20¢	+$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?Politics	NoResolved	$1	49¢	0.0¢	-$1
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	21¢	0.0¢	-$1
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	78¢	0.0¢	-$1
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Politics	NoResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$1	34¢	0.0¢	-$1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech	NoResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy	YesResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Tech	NoResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Politics	YesResolved	$10	21¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	40¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$1	57¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	64¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Politics	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Tech	NoResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Finance	YesResolved	$3	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?Politics	YesResolved	$1	7.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	28¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$25

Tech-$11

Economy+$4

Finance-$3

World Cup+$1

Crypto-$1

Biggest hit

+$6

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Toughest beat

-$1

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?$211d ago
Bought Yes · Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Bought No · Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Bought No · Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Bought No · Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?$511d ago
Bought Yes · Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?$511d ago
Bought No · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?$111d ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?$617d ago
Cashed out No · Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$717d ago
Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?$020d ago