← Whale Watch

alligator.

Predicting since Jan 20251,845 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.2K on Mentions markets since Jan 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechNo$4540¢55¢+$17
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)Yes$2357¢61¢+$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?CultureYes$8139¢7.1¢-$66
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1111¢12¢+$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?CultureYes$1721¢1.7¢-$15
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$010¢38¢+$1
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1665¢0.0¢-$16
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$9664¢0.0¢-$96
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$768¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Corn" during Wisconsin events?MentionsYesResolved$1742¢0.0¢-$17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$882¢0.0¢-$8
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$2358¢0.0¢-$23
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$3817¢0.0¢-$38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24318¢0.0¢-$243
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsYesResolved$27.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-07?Soccer (other)NoResolved$2754¢0.0¢-$27
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?MentionsYesResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?PoliticsYesResolved$106.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$1468¢0.0¢-$14
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2856¢0.0¢-$28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1313¢0.0¢-$13
Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?World CupNoResolved$735¢0.0¢-$7
Will the announcers say "NFL" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$827¢0.0¢-$8
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$2255¢0.0¢-$22
Will the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$1153¢0.0¢-$11
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Knicks vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$6464¢0.0¢-$64
Will Joshua Kimmich score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1947¢0.0¢-$19
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?Soccer (other)NoResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?MentionsYesResolved$4819¢0.0¢-$48
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?MentionsYesResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsNoResolved$875¢0.0¢-$8
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$767.6¢0.0¢-$76
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7151¢0.0¢-$71
Will England win on 2026-07-05?World CupNoResolved$1963¢0.0¢-$19
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1448¢0.0¢-$14
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$879¢0.0¢-$8
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$3456¢0.0¢-$34
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$715¢0.0¢-$7
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3060¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump’s remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$1142¢0.0¢-$11
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7474¢0.0¢-$74
Will Trump say "Beef" during Wisconsin events?MentionsYesResolved$1577¢0.0¢-$15
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?PoliticsYesResolved$189.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1962¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$2447¢0.0¢-$24
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?MentionsYesResolved$1324¢0.0¢-$13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$94.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$2066¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?MentionsYesResolved$663¢0.0¢-$6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$1835¢0.0¢-$18
Will Trump say "Booming" during remarks in Georgia?MentionsYesResolved$736¢0.0¢-$7
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2959¢0.0¢-$29
Will the announcers say "Corner" 22+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$140.7¢0.0¢-$14
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?TechYesResolved$2023¢0.0¢-$20
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1172¢0.0¢-$11
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$2665¢0.0¢-$26
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$2767¢0.0¢-$27
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?World CupYesResolved$2243¢0.0¢-$22
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?World CupYesResolved$946¢0.0¢-$9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5126¢0.0¢-$51
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$733¢0.0¢-$7
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?Soccer (other)YesResolved$13257¢0.0¢-$132
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1913¢0.0¢-$19
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$3868¢0.0¢-$38
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$3272¢0.0¢-$32
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$484.8¢0.0¢-$48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$7028¢0.0¢-$70
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesNBASpursResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$81.7¢0.0¢-$8
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?TechNoResolved$2973¢0.0¢-$29
Knicks vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$1468¢0.0¢-$14
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3825¢0.0¢-$38
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-07?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1217¢0.0¢-$12
Pistons vs. CavaliersNBAPistonsResolved$639¢0.0¢-$6
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?World CupYesResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?PoliticsYesResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$270.7¢0.0¢-$27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Spurs vs. KnicksNBAKnicksResolved$3355¢0.0¢-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Mentions+$1.2K
World Cup-$987
Soccer (other)-$418
NBA-$274
Culture-$201
Tech-$40
Politics+$31
La Liga+$27
Premier League-$19
Champions League-$18
Formula 1-$11
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$768
Will Trump say "Genius" this week?
Toughest beat
-$451
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$94h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-26?$126h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$1115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$1215h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$115h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$015h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$515h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$5317h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?$5518h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?$5718h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?$2119h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1719h ago