← Whale Watch

Accuratebias

Predicting since Nov 2025115 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?CryptoNoResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1117¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1416¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$243¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1150¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$821¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$638¢0.0¢-$6
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?WeatherYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9AM ETCryptoDownResolved$95.6¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?CryptoNoResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4430¢0.0¢-$44
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1225¢0.0¢-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8PM ETCryptoDownResolved$247¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1934¢0.0¢-$19
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?PoliticsYesResolved$4235¢0.0¢-$42
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?WeatherYesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$166.1¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7AM ETCryptoUpResolved$4222¢0.0¢-$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ETCryptoDownResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7AM ETCryptoDownResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$146
Politics-$17
Boxing-$1
Culture+$1
Tech-$0
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 2AM ET
Toughest beat
-$66
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Recent moves

  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$25mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$25mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$85mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$85mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$85mo ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$85mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$65mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$25mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$15mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$35mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$25mo ago