Accuratebias

Predicting since Nov 2025115 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	52¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$21	34¢	0.0¢	-$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$14	16¢	0.0¢	-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	43¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$11	50¢	0.0¢	-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$14	37¢	0.0¢	-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$7	44¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Weather	YesResolved	$3	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$9	5.6¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$1	51¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	53¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 12PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$44	30¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$12	25¢	0.0¢	-$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	47¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 10AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$19	34¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Politics	YesResolved	$42	35¢	0.0¢	-$42
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$1	36¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 1PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$16	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$3	47¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$42	22¢	0.0¢	-$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	24¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$2	50¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$164

Politics-$17

Boxing-$1

Culture+$1

Tech-$0

Weather+$0

Biggest hit

+$44

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 2AM ET

Toughest beat

-$66

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?

Recent moves

Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$26mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$16mo ago
Sold No · Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$26mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$87mo ago
Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$87mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$87mo ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$87mo ago
Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$67mo ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$27mo ago
Sold No · Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$17mo ago
Sold No · Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$27mo ago