sunbeam2104

Predicting since Dec 202562 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech	No	$17	16¢	11¢	-$5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Tech	Yes	$10	10¢	6.2¢	-$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$5	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 22?Weather	YesResolved	$10	37¢	0.0¢	-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$20	53¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?Weather	YesResolved	$21	30¢	0.0¢	-$21
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$13	26¢	0.0¢	-$13
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 12?Finance	UpResolved	$20	73¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	0.4¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?Weather	NoResolved	$5	67¢	0.0¢	-$5
XRP Up or Down on January 6?Crypto	DownResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$19	63¢	0.0¢	-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$17	61¢	0.0¢	-$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$8	56¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?Weather	YesResolved	$8	41¢	0.0¢	-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$2	44¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$44

Crypto+$44

Weather-$23

Finance-$10

Tech-$9

Bundesliga+$5

Economy+$1

Biggest hit

+$32

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?

Toughest beat

-$25

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?$14d ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 6?$34d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?$24d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?$44d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?$04d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$05d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$95d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$55d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$35d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$15d ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?$45d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$245d ago